Red Hot Hannibal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7 (3 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (Italian / German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1143 | 1042 | 64% | 2025-02-02 | Won |
| 1141 | 1141 | 50% | 2024-05-17 | Won |
| 1133 | 1147 | 48% | 2023-12-02 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1139 vs 1110 has a 54.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).