To The Cider Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11 (4 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 5
Defender wins (German): 5
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Canadian): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 1117 | 33% | 2026-06-06 | Won |
| 933 | 994 | 41% | 2025-05-16 | Won |
| 1126 | 953 | 73% | 2024-11-25 | Won |
| 1000 | 1030 | 46% | 2024-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1012.5 vs 1023.5 has a 48.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).