Viking Surprise
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (7 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1249 | 957 | 84% | 2026-06-29 | | Won |
| 1086 | 1035 | 57% | 2026-04-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2026-03-29 | | Lost |
| 1314 | 912 | 91% | 2026-02-12 | | Lost |
| 1112 | 1000 | 66% | 2026-01-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 987 | 52% | 2025-12-15 | | Lost |
| 985 | 1000 | 48% | 2025-11-09 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1106.6 vs 984.4 has a 66.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).