Viking Surprise
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (7 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1187 | 734 | 93% | 2026-06-29 | | Won |
| 1102 | 1136 | 45% | 2026-04-20 | | Won |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2026-03-29 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2026-02-12 | | Lost |
| 1181 | 1000 | 74% | 2026-01-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 890 | 65% | 2025-12-15 | | Lost |
| 975 | 1000 | 46% | 2025-11-09 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1106.6 vs 990.1 has a 66.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).