Wilia River Showdown
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (6 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (Polish): 8
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1208 | 1062 | 70% | 2026-09-30 | | Lost |
| 967 | 1159 | 25% | 2026-08-19 | | Won |
| 967 | 1159 | 25% | 2026-08-19 | | Lost |
| 1058 | 1001 | 58% | 2026-08-18 | A | Won |
| 1000 | 963 | 55% | 2026-01-29 | | Lost |
| 1069 | 940 | 68% | 2025-11-29 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1044.8 vs 1047.3 has a 49.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).