Wilia River Showdown
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8 (3 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (Polish): 2
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1043 | 1002 | 56% | 2026-08-18 | A | Won |
| 1000 | 976 | 53% | 2026-01-29 | | Lost |
| 1045 | 966 | 61% | 2025-11-29 | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1029.3 vs 981.3 has a 56.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).