Independence Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (3 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Czechoslovakian): 6
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 886 | 1082 | 24% | 2026-01-14 | Lost |
| 1166 | 1186 | 47% | 2025-12-16 | Won |
| 1169 | 1186 | 48% | 2025-12-16 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1073.7 vs 1151.3 has a 39.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).