Red Packets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 264 (50 on the archive and 214 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 144
Defender wins (Russian): 118
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 937 | 60% | 2025-08-26 | Lost |
| 1136 | 935 | 76% | 2025-08-18 | Won |
| 1053 | 995 | 58% | 2024-04-01 | Lost |
| 878 | 880 | 50% | 2024-02-24 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2024-01-08 | Won |
| 1118 | 1228 | 35% | 2021-08-10 | Won |
| 1017 | 1228 | 23% | 2021-08-10 | Won |
| 1036 | 993 | 56% | 2021-01-17 | Lost |
| 932 | 1173 | 20% | 2020-12-25 | Lost |
| 1173 | 932 | 80% | 2020-12-20 | Won |
| 953 | 1055 | 36% | 2019-05-05 | Won |
| 1165 | 1133 | 55% | 2018-02-09 | Won |
| 951 | 956 | 49% | 2018-01-27 | Won |
| 960 | 1078 | 34% | 2018-01-27 | Lost |
| 893 | 1203 | 14% | 2017-06-08 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2016-12-15 | Lost |
| 1254 | 960 | 84% | 2016-06-18 | Won |
| 998 | 987 | 52% | 2016-02-01 | Won |
| 1028 | 1065 | 45% | 2015-07-08 | Lost |
| 1065 | 977 | 62% | 2015-04-25 | Won |
| 1009 | 958 | 57% | 2015-01-13 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1203 | 46% | 2014-01-13 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1031 | 50% | 2013-12-22 | Won |
| 983 | 1031 | 43% | 2013-10-19 | Lost |
| 1031 | 983 | 57% | 2013-10-19 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1203 | 26% | 2013-10-18 | Won |
| 900 | 1070 | 27% | 2013-02-07 | Won |
| 901 | 1012 | 35% | 2012-09-30 | Lost |
| 901 | 951 | 43% | 2012-09-30 | Lost |
| 901 | 1012 | 35% | 2012-09-23 | Won |
| 901 | 951 | 43% | 2012-09-23 | Won |
| 937 | 949 | 48% | 2012-06-15 | Lost |
| 942 | 1096 | 29% | 2012-04-29 | Lost |
| 937 | 973 | 45% | 2012-03-07 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2012-02-27 | Lost |
| 1067 | 917 | 70% | 2012-01-01 | Lost |
| 927 | 1013 | 38% | 2011-05-17 | Lost |
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2010-09-25 | Won |
| 958 | 1039 | 39% | 2010-08-31 | Lost |
| 919 | 1035 | 34% | 2009-06-22 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1027 | 52% | 2009-01-02 | Tied |
| 965 | 937 | 54% | 2008-07-30 | Won |
| 903 | 1113 | 23% | 2008-01-01 | Won |
| 1010 | 943 | 60% | 2006-08-14 | Lost |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2004-11-28 | Won |
| 1123 | 1154 | 46% | 2000-01-09 | Won |
| 1028 | 869 | 71% | 1999-10-01 | Lost |
| 992 | 1152 | 28% | 1996-10-01 | Won |
| 1193 | 911 | 84% | 1994-03-02 | Lost |
| 1061 | 985 | 61% | 1992-02-26 | Lost |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1009 vs 1028.4 has a 47.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).