Le Manoir
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 319 (56 on the archive and 263 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 214
Defender wins (German): 104
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 872 | 73% | 2024-08-22 | Lost |
| 1022 | 993 | 54% | 2024-07-08 | Won |
| 991 | 1019 | 46% | 2023-11-18 | Lost |
| 966 | 1116 | 30% | 2023-03-01 | Lost |
| 980 | 1046 | 41% | 2022-04-05 | Won |
| 1053 | 940 | 66% | 2020-07-15 | Won |
| 1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2019-10-17 | Lost |
| 1241 | 994 | 81% | 2019-10-02 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1046 | 46% | 2019-02-10 | Won |
| 1021 | 964 | 58% | 2016-07-26 | Won |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2016-03-13 | Lost |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-02-14 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-02-14 | Won |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2015-11-04 | Won |
| 989 | 1080 | 37% | 2015-11-01 | Won |
| 1080 | 989 | 63% | 2015-10-25 | Won |
| 1113 | 977 | 69% | 2015-10-24 | Won |
| 984 | 973 | 52% | 2015-09-18 | Lost |
| 987 | 906 | 61% | 2015-09-15 | Won |
| 977 | 971 | 51% | 2015-08-28 | Won |
| 906 | 844 | 59% | 2015-05-30 | Won |
| 977 | 1010 | 45% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 977 | 1038 | 41% | 2014-11-10 | Won |
| 1038 | 1019 | 53% | 2014-08-16 | Won |
| 847 | 974 | 32% | 2014-05-16 | Won |
| 1266 | 1199 | 60% | 2014-04-05 | Won |
| 1266 | 956 | 86% | 2014-03-20 | Won |
| 806 | 1199 | 9% | 2013-12-05 | Won |
| 1055 | 1061 | 49% | 2013-09-03 | Lost |
| 956 | 1021 | 41% | 2013-08-25 | Won |
| 1045 | 1094 | 43% | 2013-05-06 | Won |
| 861 | 951 | 37% | 2013-04-21 | Won |
| 881 | 962 | 39% | 2012-05-05 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1098 | 49% | 2012-03-14 | Won |
| 977 | 1039 | 41% | 2012-02-07 | Won |
| 1133 | 1150 | 48% | 2012-02-02 | Won |
| 1038 | 1310 | 17% | 2011-02-12 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1037 | 70% | 2011-01-08 | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2010-01-15 | Won |
| 848 | 885 | 45% | 2009-06-23 | Won |
| 940 | 1062 | 33% | 2008-12-17 | Lost |
| 940 | 1062 | 33% | 2008-12-17 | Lost |
| 940 | 1062 | 33% | 2008-12-12 | Won |
| 1047 | 1017 | 54% | 2007-07-22 | Won |
| 1021 | 862 | 71% | 2007-07-07 | Won |
| 1132 | 1228 | 37% | 2007-01-12 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1111 | 38% | 2006-07-05 | Won |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-05-07 | Lost |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2005-01-19 | Won |
| 1001 | 1041 | 44% | 2002-01-01 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1010 | 56% | 2000-01-01 | Won |
| 1098 | 982 | 66% | 1998-12-06 | Lost |
| 1166 | 1061 | 65% | 1998-05-07 | Lost |
| 948 | 976 | 46% | 1997-07-16 | Won |
| 983 | 1228 | 20% | 1995-11-04 | Won |
| 881 | 1241 | 11% | 1994-04-11 | Won |
Attacking (38 wins) average ELOs: 1014.7 vs 1024.8 has a 48.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).