Silence that Gun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 485 (85 on the archive and 400 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 180
Defender wins (German): 305
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 977 | 1016 | 44% | 2026-03-01 | Lost |
| 1093 | 868 | 79% | 2024-12-07 | Won |
| 1186 | 984 | 76% | 2024-09-21 | Won |
| 1030 | 1093 | 41% | 2024-07-27 | Won |
| 895 | 895 | 50% | 2022-08-14 | Lost |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2022-06-12 | Lost |
| 1008 | 858 | 70% | 2022-04-28 | Won |
| 1043 | 1008 | 55% | 2022-04-28 | Lost |
| 970 | 984 | 48% | 2021-12-09 | Lost |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2021-03-08 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1060 | 45% | 2021-03-08 | Lost |
| 1095 | 994 | 64% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 974 | 971 | 50% | 2020-12-14 | Won |
| 961 | 1002 | 44% | 2020-08-01 | Won |
| 961 | 1002 | 44% | 2020-08-01 | Won |
| 1025 | 1001 | 53% | 2020-01-19 | Lost |
| 952 | 1176 | 22% | 2019-10-31 | Won |
| 1108 | 911 | 76% | 2019-07-26 | Won |
| 1093 | 1228 | 31% | 2019-07-13 | Won |
| 1172 | 1171 | 50% | 2019-07-13 | Won |
| 1152 | 1036 | 66% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
| 953 | 1113 | 28% | 2018-09-30 | Lost |
| 898 | 941 | 44% | 2018-09-24 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1136 | 36% | 2018-06-11 | Won |
| 938 | 1158 | 22% | 2018-06-01 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1152 | 41% | 2017-10-21 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1131 | 45% | 2017-08-21 | Won |
| 1080 | 913 | 72% | 2017-03-11 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1003 | 70% | 2017-03-02 | Lost |
| 1234 | 1140 | 63% | 2016-12-14 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2016-10-14 | Won |
| 1005 | 1038 | 45% | 2016-09-25 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1173 | 50% | 2015-11-17 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1017 | 57% | 2015-08-08 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1066 | 43% | 2015-08-01 | Lost |
| 1025 | 982 | 56% | 2015-05-15 | Lost |
| 981 | 1233 | 19% | 2015-03-07 | Lost |
| 981 | 1233 | 19% | 2015-03-07 | Lost |
| 999 | 1110 | 35% | 2014-11-13 | Lost |
| 983 | 1100 | 34% | 2014-10-01 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1038 | 47% | 2014-08-06 | Won |
| 850 | 974 | 33% | 2014-06-05 | Lost |
| 967 | 986 | 47% | 2014-01-26 | Won |
| 1036 | 947 | 63% | 2013-12-15 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1029 | 79% | 2013-10-14 | Won |
| 1069 | 1172 | 36% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
| 843 | 1069 | 21% | 2013-09-09 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1039 | 47% | 2013-06-10 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1098 | 53% | 2013-01-29 | Won |
| 1066 | 1003 | 59% | 2012-11-23 | Lost |
| 1096 | 951 | 70% | 2012-11-05 | Won |
| 1117 | 963 | 71% | 2012-10-22 | Won |
| 880 | 959 | 39% | 2012-05-29 | Won |
| 1082 | 1042 | 56% | 2012-02-05 | Won |
| 933 | 870 | 59% | 2011-10-10 | Lost |
| 989 | 1073 | 38% | 2011-03-11 | Won |
| 867 | 913 | 43% | 2011-03-11 | Won |
| 963 | 1047 | 38% | 2009-11-04 | Lost |
| 938 | 963 | 46% | 2009-10-27 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1003 | 70% | 2009-10-08 | Lost |
| 1059 | 916 | 69% | 2009-09-19 | Won |
| 1046 | 1039 | 51% | 2009-08-05 | Lost |
| 948 | 1093 | 30% | 2008-09-24 | Lost |
| 919 | 1093 | 27% | 2008-08-15 | Lost |
| 1060 | 985 | 61% | 2007-11-17 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1133 | 64% | 2007-01-08 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1059 | 48% | 2006-08-03 | Lost |
| 905 | 956 | 43% | 2006-06-09 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1186 | 30% | 2006-05-06 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1049 | 56% | 2005-05-15 | Lost |
| 1093 | 970 | 67% | 2005-01-26 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1009 | 62% | 2005-01-11 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1086 | 54% | 2004-08-01 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1058 | 44% | 2004-02-24 | Lost |
| 998 | 927 | 60% | 2003-05-18 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1344 | 29% | 2002-05-29 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1140 | 42% | 2001-10-07 | Lost |
| 974 | 1013 | 44% | 2000-10-25 | Lost |
| 1039 | 974 | 59% | 2000-10-17 | Lost |
| 961 | 1140 | 26% | 1998-11-21 | Lost |
| 1173 | 986 | 75% | 1998-08-10 | Won |
| 873 | 1031 | 29% | 1998-06-06 | Won |
| 1064 | 998 | 59% | 1995-11-07 | Won |
| 1173 | 1102 | 60% | 1995-09-12 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1015 | 72% | 1993-07-15 | Lost |
Attacking (30 wins) average ELOs: 1038.3 vs 1039.2 has a 49.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).