Trapped!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (18 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (American): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 987 | 54% | 2021-06-02 | Won |
| 914 | 1053 | 31% | 2020-11-13 | Lost |
| 914 | 1053 | 31% | 2020-11-13 | Lost |
| 829 | 1196 | 11% | 2020-09-20 | Lost |
| 1196 | 975 | 78% | 2020-09-13 | Won |
| 1027 | 1017 | 51% | 2018-05-09 | Won |
| 909 | 1010 | 36% | 2018-04-02 | Won |
| 951 | 956 | 49% | 2013-12-23 | Won |
| 1194 | 877 | 86% | 2013-09-05 | Won |
| 1153 | 1044 | 65% | 2012-12-15 | Won |
| 1040 | 1073 | 45% | 2012-02-04 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1036 | 48% | 2009-01-01 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1133 | 63% | 2007-01-12 | Won |
| 1033 | 1010 | 53% | 2006-06-02 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1076 | 53% | 2004-10-01 | Won |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2003-06-03 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1039 | 52% | 2000-11-03 | Won |
| 1196 | 881 | 86% | 1994-04-12 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1027.2 vs 1031.6 has a 49.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).