Trapped!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (18 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (American): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 987 | 58% | 2021-06-02 | Won |
| 954 | 1043 | 37% | 2020-11-13 | Lost |
| 954 | 1043 | 37% | 2020-11-13 | Lost |
| 826 | 1193 | 11% | 2020-09-20 | Lost |
| 1193 | 967 | 79% | 2020-09-13 | Won |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2018-05-09 | Won |
| 951 | 1010 | 42% | 2018-04-02 | Won |
| 951 | 956 | 49% | 2013-12-23 | Won |
| 1203 | 922 | 83% | 2013-09-05 | Won |
| 1153 | 1065 | 62% | 2012-12-15 | Won |
| 1040 | 1073 | 45% | 2012-02-04 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1028 | 50% | 2009-01-01 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1133 | 63% | 2007-01-12 | Won |
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2006-06-02 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1076 | 53% | 2004-10-01 | Won |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2003-06-03 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1039 | 52% | 2000-11-03 | Won |
| 1193 | 881 | 86% | 1994-04-12 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1037.8 vs 1031.8 has a 50.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).