The Mad Minute
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 139 (16 on the archive and 123 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 106
Defender wins (American): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1089 | 37% | 2025-03-12 | | Lost |
| 891 | 1000 | 35% | 2022-04-04 | | Lost |
| 977 | 992 | 48% | 2022-01-15 | | Won |
| 977 | 992 | 48% | 2022-01-15 | | Won |
| 1078 | 1000 | 61% | 2020-09-20 | | Won |
| 1077 | 974 | 64% | 2018-03-09 | | Won |
| 1073 | 1157 | 38% | 2016-12-18 | | Won |
| 1002 | 966 | 55% | 2016-10-04 | | Won |
| 1036 | 1019 | 52% | 2014-06-07 | | Tied |
| 1010 | 1120 | 35% | 2012-08-11 | | Won |
| 907 | 1000 | 37% | 2005-03-12 | | Won |
| 1096 | 961 | 69% | 2002-06-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2002-03-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1078 | 39% | 1997-10-10 | | Won |
| 992 | 1141 | 30% | 1996-07-01 | | Lost |
| 1157 | 1000 | 71% | 1993-03-19 | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1017.1 vs 1034.1 has a 47.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).