The Liberation of Tulle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 167 (32 on the archive and 135 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Partisan (FTP)): 102
Defender wins (German): 64
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Partisan (FTP)): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 976 | 1103 | 32% | 2026-01-05 | Won |
| 841 | 1040 | 24% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1027 | 56% | 2023-03-10 | Won |
| 951 | 986 | 45% | 2022-03-25 | Lost |
| 707 | 899 | 25% | 2022-01-11 | Won |
| 1151 | 1172 | 47% | 2021-08-28 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1096 | 45% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 1139 | 1009 | 68% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1009 | 51% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
| 988 | 1054 | 41% | 2018-01-14 | Won |
| 975 | 1103 | 32% | 2017-10-07 | Won |
| 933 | 1002 | 40% | 2017-01-05 | Won |
| 900 | 707 | 75% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
| 1051 | 1080 | 46% | 2016-09-04 | Won |
| 958 | 1038 | 39% | 2016-07-24 | Won |
| 1059 | 1130 | 40% | 2014-12-20 | Won |
| 984 | 1233 | 19% | 2014-05-18 | Won |
| 931 | 1130 | 24% | 2014-02-07 | Lost |
| 951 | 922 | 54% | 2014-01-03 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1045 | 68% | 2013-12-04 | Lost |
| 1107 | 943 | 72% | 2013-06-23 | Won |
| 972 | 949 | 53% | 2010-11-19 | Won |
| 988 | 1130 | 31% | 2009-08-09 | Won |
| 976 | 906 | 60% | 2009-01-10 | Lost |
| 957 | 1038 | 39% | 2008-07-22 | Won |
| 1021 | 1041 | 47% | 2005-10-23 | Won |
| 1127 | 986 | 69% | 2004-08-31 | Won |
| 1167 | 1037 | 68% | 1998-09-01 | Lost |
| 1077 | 881 | 76% | 1993-03-26 | Won |
| 984 | 992 | 49% | 1992-12-19 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1070 | 51% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
| 1091 | 1000 | 63% | | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1011 vs 1023.7 has a 48.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).