The Liberation of Tulle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32
Attacker wins (Partisan (FTP)): 19
Defender wins (German): 12
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Partisan (FTP)): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1027 | 1037 | 49% | 2026-01-05 | Won |
| 854 | 1062 | 23% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1025 | 51% | 2023-03-10 | Won |
| 951 | 1010 | 42% | 2022-03-25 | Lost |
| 756 | 900 | 30% | 2022-01-11 | Won |
| 1143 | 1198 | 42% | 2021-08-28 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1056 | 50% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 1130 | 1009 | 67% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1009 | 51% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
| 1047 | 996 | 57% | 2018-01-14 | Won |
| 975 | 1075 | 36% | 2017-10-07 | Won |
| 931 | 987 | 42% | 2017-01-05 | Won |
| 896 | 756 | 69% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
| 1068 | 1075 | 49% | 2016-09-04 | Won |
| 958 | 939 | 53% | 2016-07-24 | Won |
| 1020 | 1100 | 39% | 2014-12-20 | Won |
| 1009 | 1228 | 22% | 2014-05-18 | Won |
| 931 | 1100 | 27% | 2014-02-07 | Lost |
| 951 | 922 | 54% | 2014-01-03 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1123 | 57% | 2013-12-04 | Lost |
| 1109 | 944 | 72% | 2013-06-23 | Won |
| 973 | 949 | 53% | 2010-11-19 | Won |
| 988 | 1100 | 34% | 2009-08-09 | Won |
| 976 | 919 | 58% | 2009-01-10 | Lost |
| 959 | 939 | 53% | 2008-07-22 | Won |
| 1059 | 1041 | 53% | 2005-10-23 | Won |
| 1174 | 987 | 75% | 2004-08-31 | Won |
| 1083 | 1037 | 57% | 1998-09-01 | Lost |
| 1196 | 881 | 86% | 1993-03-26 | Won |
| 984 | 1065 | 39% | 1992-12-19 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1068 | 42% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
| 1118 | 1000 | 66% | | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1017.2 vs 1016.8 has a 50.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).