The Liberation of Tulle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32
Attacker wins (Partisan (FTP)): 19
Defender wins (German): 12
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Partisan (FTP)): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 926 | 1153 | 21% | 2026-01-05 | Won |
| 849 | 1032 | 26% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1027 | 56% | 2023-03-10 | Won |
| 951 | 999 | 43% | 2022-03-25 | Lost |
| 755 | 899 | 30% | 2022-01-11 | Won |
| 1151 | 1154 | 50% | 2021-08-28 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1081 | 47% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 1139 | 1009 | 68% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1009 | 51% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
| 979 | 1065 | 38% | 2018-01-14 | Won |
| 975 | 964 | 52% | 2017-10-07 | Won |
| 988 | 988 | 50% | 2017-01-05 | Won |
| 910 | 755 | 71% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
| 1051 | 1080 | 46% | 2016-09-04 | Won |
| 958 | 964 | 49% | 2016-07-24 | Won |
| 1007 | 1135 | 32% | 2014-12-20 | Won |
| 984 | 1233 | 19% | 2014-05-18 | Won |
| 931 | 1135 | 24% | 2014-02-07 | Lost |
| 951 | 922 | 54% | 2014-01-03 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1063 | 65% | 2013-12-04 | Lost |
| 1108 | 943 | 72% | 2013-06-23 | Won |
| 972 | 949 | 53% | 2010-11-19 | Won |
| 988 | 1135 | 30% | 2009-08-09 | Won |
| 976 | 920 | 58% | 2009-01-10 | Lost |
| 957 | 964 | 49% | 2008-07-22 | Won |
| 1005 | 1041 | 45% | 2005-10-23 | Won |
| 1160 | 986 | 73% | 2004-08-31 | Won |
| 1085 | 1037 | 57% | 1998-09-01 | Lost |
| 1189 | 881 | 85% | 1993-03-26 | Won |
| 984 | 1044 | 41% | 1992-12-19 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1070 | 43% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1009.3 vs 1019.9 has a 48.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).