Ambush!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 204 (28 on the archive and 176 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Bulgarian): 105
Defender wins (Partisan): 99
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-08-10 | Won |
1139 | 1000 | 69% | 2021-06-21 | Won |
1139 | 1000 | 69% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-06-28 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-06-21 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
955 | 1000 | 44% | 2016-11-12 | Lost |
955 | 1000 | 44% | 2016-11-12 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-09-18 | Lost |
924 | 968 | 44% | 2015-04-16 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-11-28 | Won |
986 | 988 | 50% | 2014-06-18 | Won |
1143 | 1000 | 69% | 2014-05-25 | Won |
1017 | 953 | 59% | 2013-11-26 | Won |
968 | 1000 | 45% | 2013-05-22 | Won |
1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2011-11-10 | Won |
959 | 959 | 50% | 2010-03-27 | Won |
929 | 929 | 50% | 2009-10-16 | Lost |
959 | 989 | 46% | 2009-08-25 | Lost |
1186 | 997 | 75% | 2008-07-18 | Lost |
912 | 912 | 50% | 2006-01-24 | Won |
1029 | 927 | 64% | 2005-01-19 | Lost |
1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2004-02-27 | Lost |
1019 | 1006 | 52% | 2004-01-29 | Won |
1040 | 1038 | 50% | 2001-09-25 | Lost |
865 | 1076 | 23% | 1998-03-29 | Won |
987 | 987 | 50% | 1998-01-17 | Lost |
1015 | 1015 | 50% | 1991-04-17 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1007.2 vs 990.9 has a 52.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).