A New Kind of Foe
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (18 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 35
Defender wins (Russian / Partisan): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1133 | 1161 | 46% | 2024-10-27 | Lost |
| 904 | 1102 | 24% | 2020-11-30 | Lost |
| 999 | 1028 | 46% | 2020-09-17 | Won |
| 969 | 983 | 48% | 2019-10-05 | Won |
| 948 | 974 | 46% | 2019-03-06 | Won |
| 1135 | 1218 | 38% | 2019-01-31 | Lost |
| 1077 | 967 | 65% | 2018-06-22 | Won |
| 988 | 958 | 54% | 2018-04-17 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1141 | 45% | 2018-01-30 | Won |
| 1108 | 1141 | 45% | 2017-04-21 | Won |
| 1059 | 1220 | 28% | 2016-01-18 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-07-12 | Won |
| 974 | 1131 | 29% | 2010-04-19 | Won |
| 957 | 960 | 50% | 2009-08-04 | Won |
| 1158 | 974 | 74% | 2009-04-19 | Won |
| 860 | 1018 | 29% | 1999-10-01 | Won |
| 1118 | 1170 | 43% | 1995-06-22 | Lost |
| 984 | 1026 | 44% | 1991-06-19 | Tied |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1031.5 vs 1070 has a 44.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).