Escape from Derna
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (5 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 4
Defender wins (German): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1054 | 957 | 64% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
| 995 | 1049 | 42% | 2018-03-29 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1037 | 57% | 2012-09-08 | Lost |
| 943 | 1032 | 37% | 2012-08-25 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1118 | 64% | 1995-06-29 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1058.8 vs 1038.6 has a 52.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).