Turning the Tables
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (17 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 33
Defender wins (British): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1215 | 1220 | 49% | 2026-03-30 | Lost |
| 1189 | 941 | 81% | 2025-06-20 | Won |
| 1161 | 1146 | 52% | 2025-03-19 | Lost |
| 1135 | 974 | 72% | 2020-07-25 | Lost |
| 952 | 1056 | 35% | 2020-03-07 | Lost |
| 1065 | 979 | 62% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
| 1063 | 998 | 59% | 2018-12-12 | Won |
| 1063 | 998 | 59% | 2018-12-12 | Won |
| 1159 | 1169 | 49% | 2018-07-28 | Lost |
| 1003 | 977 | 54% | 2017-12-23 | Lost |
| 1149 | 967 | 74% | 2015-06-27 | Won |
| 1071 | 1024 | 57% | 2013-12-14 | Lost |
| 1099 | 948 | 70% | 2012-07-06 | Lost |
| 919 | 919 | 50% | 2009-08-26 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1062 | 65% | 2008-06-19 | Won |
| 1118 | 1189 | 40% | 1995-07-06 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1091.2 vs 1035.5 has a 57.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).