Into the Fray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 161 (19 on the archive and 142 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 70
Defender wins (Polish): 91
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2025-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2025-01-02 | | Won |
| 952 | 1011 | 42% | 2024-11-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2024-02-21 | | Lost |
| 1087 | 983 | 65% | 2022-01-22 | | Lost |
| 994 | 970 | 53% | 2020-05-29 | | Lost |
| 1069 | 1164 | 37% | 2019-07-27 | | Won |
| 1085 | 966 | 66% | 2017-01-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 985 | 52% | 2015-06-06 | | Lost |
| 943 | 940 | 50% | 2015-01-18 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2015-01-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2013-07-20 | | Won |
| 880 | 1000 | 33% | 2012-11-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1216 | 22% | 2009-12-18 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2005-11-16 | | Lost |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 1998-12-07 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1022 | 55% | 1998-05-22 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 1997-09-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 1993-08-20 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1021.6 vs 1030.1 has a 48.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).