Into the Fray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 161 (19 on the archive and 142 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 70
Defender wins (Polish): 91
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1086 | 1086 | 50% | 2025-10-06 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1067 | 49% | 2025-01-02 | Won |
| 952 | 1011 | 42% | 2024-11-23 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1060 | 51% | 2024-02-21 | Lost |
| 1081 | 988 | 63% | 2022-01-22 | Lost |
| 993 | 970 | 53% | 2020-05-29 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1030 | 52% | 2019-07-27 | Won |
| 1075 | 967 | 65% | 2017-01-25 | Lost |
| 1030 | 969 | 59% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 942 | 924 | 53% | 2015-01-18 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2015-01-10 | Won |
| 943 | 1107 | 28% | 2013-07-20 | Won |
| 880 | 959 | 39% | 2012-11-29 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1226 | 31% | 2009-12-18 | Lost |
| 948 | 1030 | 38% | 2005-11-16 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1097 | 41% | 1998-12-07 | Won |
| 1046 | 1022 | 53% | 1998-05-22 | Won |
| 1097 | 1153 | 42% | 1997-09-01 | Lost |
| 911 | 1057 | 30% | 1993-08-20 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1019.1 vs 1042.7 has a 46.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).