Into the Fray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (Polish): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 942 | 949 | 49% | 2024-11-23 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1023 | 47% | 2022-01-22 | Lost |
| 992 | 975 | 52% | 2020-05-29 | Lost |
| 1165 | 957 | 77% | 2019-07-27 | Won |
| 1049 | 995 | 58% | 2017-01-25 | Lost |
| 1032 | 994 | 55% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 942 | 966 | 47% | 2015-01-18 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2015-01-10 | Won |
| 944 | 1094 | 30% | 2013-07-20 | Won |
| 881 | 962 | 39% | 2012-11-29 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1141 | 41% | 2009-12-18 | Lost |
| 943 | 1032 | 37% | 2005-11-16 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1097 | 41% | 1998-12-07 | Won |
| 1061 | 1005 | 58% | 1998-05-22 | Won |
| 1029 | 1136 | 35% | 1997-09-01 | Lost |
| 911 | 1217 | 15% | 1993-08-20 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1006.3 vs 1039.4 has a 45.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).