Into the Fray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 160 (19 on the archive and 141 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 70
Defender wins (Polish): 90
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1072 | 1072 | 50% | 2025-10-06 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1066 | 49% | 2025-01-02 | Won |
| 952 | 1011 | 42% | 2024-11-23 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1059 | 51% | 2024-02-21 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1002 | 58% | 2022-01-22 | Lost |
| 993 | 970 | 53% | 2020-05-29 | Lost |
| 1052 | 954 | 64% | 2019-07-27 | Won |
| 1037 | 1007 | 54% | 2017-01-25 | Lost |
| 1012 | 984 | 54% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 942 | 884 | 58% | 2015-01-18 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2015-01-10 | Won |
| 943 | 1108 | 28% | 2013-07-20 | Won |
| 880 | 959 | 39% | 2012-11-29 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1190 | 35% | 2009-12-18 | Lost |
| 948 | 1012 | 41% | 2005-11-16 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1097 | 41% | 1998-12-07 | Won |
| 983 | 1005 | 47% | 1998-05-22 | Won |
| 1019 | 1153 | 32% | 1997-09-01 | Lost |
| 911 | 1200 | 16% | 1993-08-20 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1006.9 vs 1043.2 has a 44.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).