Revenge at Kastelli
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (16 on the archive and 80 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Greek): 47
Defender wins (German): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 972 | 1014 | 44% | 2020-07-18 | Won |
| 891 | 975 | 38% | 2018-09-09 | Won |
| 1158 | 1009 | 70% | 2018-02-05 | Won |
| 1158 | 926 | 79% | 2018-02-05 | Won |
| 1014 | 1029 | 48% | 2017-03-21 | Won |
| 857 | 1127 | 17% | 2016-12-27 | Won |
| 1191 | 1053 | 69% | 2014-05-01 | Won |
| 998 | 1001 | 50% | 2014-02-15 | Won |
| 962 | 881 | 61% | 2012-05-29 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1041 | 48% | 2011-07-09 | Lost |
| 946 | 891 | 58% | 2011-05-05 | Won |
| 1011 | 1011 | 50% | 2011-03-08 | Won |
| 920 | 952 | 45% | 2008-12-12 | Won |
| 866 | 1028 | 28% | 1998-05-20 | Won |
| 1200 | 1110 | 63% | 1995-01-14 | Won |
| 1014 | 985 | 54% | 1991-02-15 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1011.8 vs 1002.1 has a 51.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).