Piercing the Peel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Dutch): 7
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Dutch): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1022 | 1031 | 49% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 1022 | 1031 | 49% | 2021-03-04 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1136 | 36% | 2020-05-18 | Lost |
| 1077 | 967 | 65% | 2016-08-13 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-04-03 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1035 | 60% | 2015-06-15 | Won |
| 1102 | 1035 | 60% | 2015-06-01 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1053 | 51% | 2013-10-23 | Lost |
| 951 | 862 | 63% | 2012-11-25 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2011-11-06 | Won |
| 1091 | 1036 | 58% | 2008-05-03 | Lost |
| 948 | 1133 | 26% | 2006-03-26 | Won |
| 1343 | 992 | 88% | 1998-09-03 | Won |
| 1343 | 992 | 88% | 1998-08-06 | Won |
| 867 | 1003 | 31% | 1998-05-10 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1170 | 43% | 1995-07-02 | Won |
| 1056 | 984 | 60% | 1991-06-12 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1072.9 vs 1032.8 has a 55.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).