Piercing the Peel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 83 (17 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (Dutch): 57
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Dutch): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1022 | 1060 | 45% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 1022 | 1060 | 45% | 2021-03-04 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1135 | 36% | 2020-05-18 | Lost |
| 1097 | 954 | 69% | 2016-08-13 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-04-03 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1035 | 60% | 2015-06-15 | Won |
| 1102 | 1035 | 60% | 2015-06-01 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1053 | 54% | 2013-10-23 | Lost |
| 951 | 862 | 63% | 2012-11-25 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2011-11-06 | Won |
| 1091 | 1036 | 58% | 2008-05-03 | Lost |
| 948 | 986 | 45% | 2006-03-26 | Won |
| 1342 | 992 | 88% | 1998-09-03 | Won |
| 1342 | 992 | 88% | 1998-08-06 | Won |
| 867 | 1065 | 24% | 1998-05-10 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1113 | 51% | 1995-07-02 | Won |
| 992 | 984 | 51% | 1991-06-12 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1071.4 vs 1027 has a 56.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).