Piercing the Peel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Dutch): 7
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Dutch): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2021-03-04 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1135 | 36% | 2020-05-18 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1041 | 44% | 2016-08-13 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2016-04-03 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1034 | 61% | 2015-06-15 | Won |
| 1110 | 1034 | 61% | 2015-06-01 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1053 | 69% | 2013-10-23 | Lost |
| 951 | 861 | 63% | 2012-11-25 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2011-11-06 | Won |
| 1092 | 1041 | 57% | 2008-05-03 | Lost |
| 946 | 972 | 46% | 2006-03-26 | Won |
| 866 | 1028 | 28% | 1998-05-10 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1200 | 38% | 1995-07-02 | Won |
| 1014 | 985 | 54% | 1991-06-12 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1039.3 vs 1045.3 has a 49.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).