Piercing the Peel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (11 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 55
Defender wins (Dutch): 22
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
974 | 1045 | 40% | 2016-08-13 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2016-04-03 | Lost |
1175 | 1030 | 70% | 2015-06-15 | Won |
1175 | 1030 | 70% | 2015-06-01 | Lost |
1104 | 1055 | 57% | 2013-10-23 | Lost |
952 | 861 | 63% | 2012-11-25 | Won |
1010 | 1009 | 50% | 2011-11-06 | Won |
1091 | 1037 | 58% | 2008-05-03 | Lost |
924 | 1017 | 37% | 2006-03-26 | Won |
865 | 1083 | 22% | 1998-05-10 | Lost |
1027 | 990 | 55% | 1991-06-12 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1038.9 vs 1026.2 has a 51.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).