Piercing the Peel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (17 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (Dutch): 57
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Dutch): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1046 | 43% | 2021-03-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1046 | 43% | 2021-03-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1132 | 32% | 2020-05-18 | | Lost |
| 1072 | 968 | 65% | 2016-08-13 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2016-04-03 | | Lost |
| 1102 | 1035 | 60% | 2015-06-15 | | Won |
| 1102 | 1035 | 60% | 2015-06-01 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1053 | 61% | 2013-10-23 | D | Lost |
| 951 | 862 | 63% | 2012-11-25 | | Won |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2011-11-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2008-05-03 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2006-03-26 | | Won |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 1998-09-03 | | Won |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 1998-08-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1076 | 39% | 1998-05-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 1995-07-02 | | Won |
| 1045 | 1000 | 56% | 1991-06-12 | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1067 vs 1025.8 has a 55.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).