Retribution
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 188 (33 on the archive and 155 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 108
Defender wins (Italian): 80
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1062 | 1000 | 59% | 2024-06-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1007 | 49% | 2022-12-04 | | Won |
| 1152 | 1000 | 71% | 2022-05-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2022-05-01 | | Won |
| 907 | 1149 | 20% | 2022-05-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 949 | 57% | 2022-03-04 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1101 | 55% | 2020-10-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2020-02-05 | | Won |
| 968 | 1072 | 35% | 2020-01-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1131 | 32% | 2019-09-24 | | Won |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2019-04-10 | | Won |
| 1008 | 974 | 55% | 2018-03-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1065 | 41% | 2017-01-20 | | Won |
| 981 | 1030 | 43% | 2016-05-18 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1102 | 40% | 2015-08-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1089 | 37% | 2015-03-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2014-08-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2013-08-02 | | Won |
| 1008 | 987 | 53% | 2013-02-21 | | Lost |
| 880 | 1000 | 33% | 2012-10-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 959 | 56% | 2012-02-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2011-05-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 2010-05-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2006-09-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 2004-05-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2003-12-01 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1269 | 21% | 2000-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 919 | 92% | 1998-11-29 | | Won |
| 1185 | 1020 | 72% | 1995-11-04 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 1995-07-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1065 | 41% | 1994-09-17 | | Won |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1029.3 vs 1046.1 has a 47.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).