Retribution
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 179 (25 on the archive and 154 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 103
Defender wins (Italian): 76
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
994 | 1011 | 48% | 2022-12-04 | Won |
1157 | 1170 | 48% | 2022-05-28 | Won |
1001 | 992 | 51% | 2022-05-01 | Won |
1128 | 1168 | 44% | 2022-03-04 | Won |
1109 | 1092 | 52% | 2020-10-20 | Won |
1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2020-02-05 | Won |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2020-01-03 | Won |
961 | 987 | 46% | 2019-09-24 | Won |
924 | 971 | 43% | 2019-04-10 | Won |
1003 | 1026 | 47% | 2018-03-24 | Won |
990 | 1027 | 45% | 2017-01-20 | Won |
1013 | 1038 | 46% | 2016-05-18 | Lost |
1030 | 1175 | 30% | 2015-08-25 | Lost |
986 | 991 | 49% | 2015-03-27 | Lost |
890 | 980 | 37% | 2014-08-28 | Won |
950 | 1036 | 38% | 2013-08-02 | Won |
1003 | 1000 | 50% | 2013-02-21 | Lost |
911 | 998 | 38% | 2012-10-15 | Lost |
1027 | 1055 | 46% | 2012-02-05 | Won |
1151 | 1037 | 66% | 2011-05-07 | Won |
971 | 1008 | 45% | 2010-05-21 | Won |
1002 | 1105 | 36% | 2006-09-24 | Won |
1030 | 1285 | 19% | 2000-01-01 | Lost |
1142 | 1003 | 69% | 1995-11-04 | Lost |
990 | 1027 | 45% | 1994-09-17 | Won |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1020.6 vs 1051.5 has a 45.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).