Retribution
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 188 (33 on the archive and 155 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 108
Defender wins (Italian): 80
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1026 | 1031 | 49% | 2024-06-15 | Won |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2022-12-04 | Won |
| 1152 | 1164 | 48% | 2022-05-28 | Won |
| 1007 | 998 | 51% | 2022-05-01 | Won |
| 949 | 1094 | 30% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
| 1140 | 999 | 69% | 2022-03-04 | Won |
| 1063 | 1101 | 45% | 2020-10-20 | Won |
| 1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2020-02-05 | Won |
| 979 | 1065 | 38% | 2020-01-03 | Won |
| 957 | 952 | 51% | 2019-09-24 | Won |
| 948 | 1099 | 30% | 2019-04-10 | Won |
| 1005 | 977 | 54% | 2018-03-24 | Won |
| 984 | 1056 | 40% | 2017-01-20 | Won |
| 988 | 1030 | 44% | 2016-05-18 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1102 | 40% | 2015-08-25 | Lost |
| 987 | 1088 | 36% | 2015-03-27 | Lost |
| 886 | 982 | 37% | 2014-08-28 | Won |
| 949 | 1038 | 37% | 2013-08-02 | Won |
| 1005 | 987 | 53% | 2013-02-21 | Lost |
| 880 | 998 | 34% | 2012-10-15 | Lost |
| 1030 | 959 | 60% | 2012-02-05 | Won |
| 1151 | 1036 | 66% | 2011-05-07 | Won |
| 1099 | 1135 | 45% | 2010-05-21 | Won |
| 1112 | 1099 | 52% | 2006-09-24 | Won |
| 1065 | 967 | 64% | 2004-05-09 | Won |
| 1058 | 1149 | 37% | 2003-12-01 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1269 | 21% | 2000-01-01 | Lost |
| 1343 | 919 | 92% | 1998-11-29 | Won |
| 1159 | 1020 | 69% | 1995-11-04 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1118 | 60% | 1995-07-16 | Lost |
| 984 | 1056 | 40% | 1994-09-17 | Won |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Lost |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1042.5 vs 1051.2 has a 48.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).