On the Kokoda Trail
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 142 (23 on the archive and 119 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 92
Defender wins (Australian): 50
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 928 | 1151 | 22% | 2022-01-25 | Won |
| 973 | 1306 | 13% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
| 1097 | 954 | 69% | 2019-11-11 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2018-10-02 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-06-03 | Won |
| 1173 | 1172 | 50% | 2017-04-11 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1173 | 50% | 2017-03-21 | Won |
| 1030 | 1225 | 25% | 2016-02-15 | Won |
| 1035 | 1102 | 40% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 956 | 948 | 51% | 2015-08-11 | Won |
| 955 | 1007 | 43% | 2012-09-02 | Won |
| 1120 | 1107 | 52% | 2011-02-19 | Won |
| 1015 | 1028 | 48% | 2010-01-25 | Won |
| 1223 | 1070 | 71% | 2006-10-26 | Won |
| 1071 | 1070 | 50% | 2006-10-26 | Won |
| 1046 | 1003 | 56% | 2004-07-10 | Won |
| 1060 | 1070 | 49% | 2001-01-15 | Won |
| 1070 | 1060 | 51% | 2001-01-02 | Won |
| 1190 | 1080 | 65% | 1998-06-30 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1113 | 50% | 1995-01-28 | Lost |
| 1060 | 984 | 61% | 1993-04-25 | Lost |
| 984 | 1008 | 47% | 1993-03-28 | Won |
| 1091 | 1000 | 63% | | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1070.4 vs 1082.2 has a 48.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).