On the Kokoda Trail
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 142 (23 on the archive and 119 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 92
Defender wins (Australian): 50
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 934 | 1147 | 23% | 2022-01-25 | Won |
| 973 | 1306 | 13% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1007 | 54% | 2019-11-11 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2018-10-02 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-06-03 | Won |
| 1173 | 1172 | 50% | 2017-04-11 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1173 | 50% | 2017-03-21 | Won |
| 1029 | 1221 | 25% | 2016-02-15 | Won |
| 1036 | 1102 | 41% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 1012 | 948 | 59% | 2015-08-11 | Won |
| 945 | 967 | 47% | 2012-09-02 | Won |
| 1119 | 1108 | 52% | 2011-02-19 | Won |
| 1015 | 1028 | 48% | 2010-01-25 | Won |
| 1165 | 1061 | 65% | 2006-10-26 | Won |
| 1049 | 1061 | 48% | 2006-10-26 | Won |
| 1046 | 1023 | 53% | 2004-07-10 | Won |
| 1059 | 1070 | 48% | 2001-01-15 | Won |
| 1070 | 1059 | 52% | 2001-01-02 | Won |
| 1189 | 1080 | 65% | 1998-06-30 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1200 | 37% | 1995-01-28 | Lost |
| 1059 | 984 | 61% | 1993-04-25 | Lost |
| 983 | 1027 | 44% | 1993-03-28 | Won |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1064 vs 1087.1 has a 46.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).