The Eastern Gate
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (11 on the archive and 74 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 51
Defender wins (Gurkha): 34
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1045 | 1068 | 47% | 2022-05-29 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-05-09 | Won |
| 1063 | 981 | 62% | 2020-02-27 | Lost |
| 1051 | 919 | 68% | 2018-11-26 | Won |
| 1071 | 1224 | 29% | 2017-06-03 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1121 | 46% | 2012-04-27 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1121 | 46% | 2011-12-20 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1133 | 51% | 2011-04-28 | Won |
| 1010 | 1109 | 36% | 2010-08-24 | Won |
| 1000 | 1158 | 29% | 2006-12-26 | Won |
| 919 | 1223 | 15% | 1993-09-17 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1052.5 vs 1104.1 has a 42.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).