The Eastern Gate
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (13 on the archive and 74 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 52
Defender wins (Gurkha): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1197 | 1073 | 67% | 2022-05-29 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-05-09 | Won |
| 1038 | 1005 | 55% | 2020-02-27 | Lost |
| 1051 | 983 | 60% | 2018-11-26 | Won |
| 1072 | 1216 | 30% | 2017-06-03 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1119 | 48% | 2012-04-27 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1119 | 48% | 2011-12-20 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1159 | 51% | 2011-04-28 | Won |
| 1015 | 1106 | 37% | 2010-08-24 | Won |
| 1061 | 1182 | 33% | 2006-12-26 | Won |
| 1061 | 1049 | 52% | 2006-12-11 | Won |
| 1344 | 1022 | 86% | 2001-06-28 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1193 | 41% | 1993-09-17 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1110.8 vs 1101.1 has a 51.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).