Hazardous Occupation
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (12 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 32
Defender wins (Partisan (Muslim)): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2019-11-11 | Lost |
| 948 | 960 | 48% | 2019-09-29 | Won |
| 1051 | 949 | 64% | 2019-07-22 | Won |
| 1110 | 1034 | 61% | 2016-02-16 | Won |
| 1030 | 1041 | 48% | 2014-01-04 | Won |
| 1226 | 1080 | 70% | 2013-10-19 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1096 | 53% | 2012-06-21 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1109 | 36% | 2010-10-25 | Won |
| 994 | 1158 | 28% | 2006-12-26 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1186 | 30% | 2001-03-02 | Won |
| 1014 | 1044 | 46% | 1999-07-03 | Won |
| 1090 | 1000 | 63% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1053.7 vs 1057.5 has a 49.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).