Red Star, Red Sun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (15 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (Japanese): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1032 | 50% | 2024-01-19 | Lost |
| 1102 | 780 | 86% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
| 1241 | 1156 | 62% | 2020-07-05 | Won |
| 995 | 1047 | 43% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 948 | 1027 | 39% | 2018-08-25 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-09-04 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1102 | 40% | 2016-04-05 | Won |
| 1120 | 1107 | 52% | 2012-12-17 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1036 | 48% | 2012-10-06 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1031 | 64% | 2011-05-15 | Lost |
| 1027 | 915 | 66% | 2008-03-18 | Won |
| 1102 | 1162 | 41% | 2002-07-27 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1102 | 46% | 2001-03-10 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1117 | 50% | 1992-10-06 | Lost |
| 943 | 1063 | 33% | 1991-11-18 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1064.6 vs 1051 has a 51.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).