Red Star, Red Sun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (15 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (Japanese): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 1017 | 50% | 2024-01-19 | Lost |
| 1163 | 780 | 90% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1002 | 78% | 2020-07-05 | Won |
| 967 | 1077 | 35% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 948 | 1029 | 39% | 2018-08-25 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-09-04 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1102 | 40% | 2016-04-05 | Won |
| 1120 | 1108 | 52% | 2012-12-17 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1036 | 49% | 2012-10-06 | Lost |
| 1149 | 983 | 72% | 2011-05-15 | Lost |
| 1029 | 919 | 65% | 2008-03-18 | Won |
| 1163 | 1166 | 50% | 2002-07-27 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1163 | 37% | 2001-03-10 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1073 | 50% | 1992-10-06 | Lost |
| 943 | 969 | 46% | 1991-11-18 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1067.6 vs 1034.1 has a 54.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).