Strangers in a Strange Land
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 319 (62 on the archive and 257 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 170
Defender wins (German): 148
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1073 | 1089 | 48% | 2026-01-24 | Won |
| 1024 | 1032 | 49% | 2025-09-21 | Lost |
| 926 | 913 | 52% | 2024-11-17 | Lost |
| 907 | 891 | 52% | 2024-04-21 | Won |
| 940 | 991 | 43% | 2022-08-31 | Won |
| 1029 | 1178 | 30% | 2021-06-16 | Lost |
| 799 | 871 | 40% | 2020-10-05 | Won |
| 1066 | 1099 | 45% | 2020-09-08 | Lost |
| 904 | 1102 | 24% | 2020-08-12 | Won |
| 966 | 843 | 67% | 2020-08-03 | Tied |
| 1030 | 1087 | 42% | 2020-05-09 | Lost |
| 956 | 1029 | 40% | 2020-03-15 | Lost |
| 1188 | 1085 | 64% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
| 1131 | 1042 | 63% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
| 1131 | 1029 | 64% | 2020-03-05 | Won |
| 967 | 1077 | 35% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1185 | 1223 | 45% | 2018-09-05 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1020 | 50% | 2017-11-23 | Won |
| 898 | 919 | 47% | 2017-08-08 | Won |
| 1022 | 1038 | 48% | 2017-05-13 | Won |
| 958 | 965 | 49% | 2017-03-21 | Won |
| 965 | 958 | 51% | 2017-03-04 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1218 | 33% | 2016-12-07 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1220 | 22% | 2015-11-16 | Won |
| 1128 | 979 | 70% | 2015-06-14 | Won |
| 1015 | 1244 | 21% | 2015-03-07 | Lost |
| 1036 | 998 | 55% | 2014-08-02 | Won |
| 1066 | 1159 | 37% | 2014-06-01 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1026 | 47% | 2014-03-04 | Won |
| 1004 | 1026 | 47% | 2014-03-04 | Won |
| 1002 | 1228 | 21% | 2012-10-07 | Won |
| 982 | 996 | 48% | 2012-09-23 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2012-08-10 | Lost |
| 1220 | 958 | 82% | 2012-08-04 | Won |
| 1108 | 1070 | 55% | 2011-10-09 | Won |
| 950 | 1004 | 42% | 2010-01-21 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1029 | 64% | 2009-11-27 | Won |
| 972 | 1128 | 29% | 2009-09-29 | Won |
| 989 | 1029 | 44% | 2009-02-26 | Lost |
| 943 | 1233 | 16% | 2008-11-01 | Won |
| 1085 | 987 | 64% | 2008-01-21 | Won |
| 1046 | 1059 | 48% | 2006-02-10 | Lost |
| 934 | 994 | 41% | 2004-09-19 | Won |
| 1108 | 969 | 69% | 2004-09-19 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1058 | 46% | 2004-07-25 | Won |
| 1071 | 1071 | 50% | 2003-03-15 | Won |
| 983 | 1046 | 41% | 2002-10-13 | Won |
| 983 | 827 | 71% | 2002-06-01 | Lost |
| 1188 | 1033 | 71% | 2001-05-06 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1159 | 47% | 2001-01-26 | Lost |
| 985 | 1060 | 39% | 2001-01-26 | Lost |
| 983 | 1083 | 36% | 2000-08-26 | Won |
| 974 | 948 | 54% | 1999-12-27 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1219 | 56% | 1999-07-18 | Won |
| 952 | 1343 | 10% | 1999-06-25 | Won |
| 910 | 1022 | 34% | 1999-01-23 | Lost |
| 1343 | 919 | 92% | 1998-12-27 | Lost |
| 1159 | 866 | 84% | 1995-11-08 | Won |
| 1163 | 1129 | 55% | 1993-10-01 | Won |
| 969 | 953 | 52% | 1993-08-07 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Lost |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Lost |
Attacking (34 wins) average ELOs: 1034.8 vs 1045 has a 48.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).