Play Ball
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (18 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Vichy French): 41
Defender wins (American): 45
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Vichy French): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1147 | 934 | 77% | 2023-03-26 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1023 | 50% | 2020-09-19 | Lost |
| 983 | 1073 | 37% | 2020-03-06 | Lost |
| 1072 | 961 | 65% | 2020-03-06 | Won |
| 1131 | 1007 | 67% | 2020-03-04 | Won |
| 982 | 1218 | 20% | 2018-10-30 | Lost |
| 958 | 988 | 46% | 2018-04-20 | Won |
| 1029 | 1190 | 28% | 2017-12-22 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-10-01 | Lost |
| 1007 | 948 | 58% | 2017-05-17 | Lost |
| 983 | 935 | 57% | 2017-03-05 | Won |
| 1102 | 1092 | 51% | 2015-08-30 | Won |
| 1233 | 943 | 84% | 2010-02-11 | Won |
| 1094 | 1036 | 58% | 2009-11-07 | Tied |
| 927 | 1009 | 38% | 2005-09-18 | Lost |
| 917 | 1019 | 36% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
| 1112 | 959 | 71% | 2001-01-06 | Lost |
| 1193 | 910 | 84% | 1994-06-22 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1054.4 vs 1018.5 has a 55.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).