Play Ball
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (19 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Vichy French): 44
Defender wins (American): 43
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Vichy French): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 973 | 1070 | 36% | 2023-03-26 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1042 | 44% | 2020-09-19 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1084 | 44% | 2020-03-06 | Lost |
| 1089 | 961 | 68% | 2020-03-06 | Won |
| 1109 | 805 | 85% | 2020-03-04 | Won |
| 982 | 1218 | 20% | 2018-10-30 | Lost |
| 956 | 940 | 52% | 2018-04-20 | Won |
| 1006 | 1143 | 31% | 2017-12-22 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-10-01 | Lost |
| 805 | 949 | 30% | 2017-05-17 | Lost |
| 950 | 935 | 52% | 2017-03-05 | Won |
| 1107 | 1091 | 52% | 2015-08-30 | Won |
| 1228 | 1067 | 72% | 2010-02-11 | Won |
| 1099 | 1041 | 58% | 2009-11-07 | Tied |
| 1205 | 805 | 91% | 2005-12-16 | Won |
| 928 | 1009 | 39% | 2005-09-18 | Lost |
| 917 | 1002 | 38% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1056 | 53% | 2001-01-06 | Lost |
| 1153 | 910 | 80% | 1994-06-22 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1037.7 vs 1011.4 has a 53.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).