Play Ball
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (19 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Vichy French): 42
Defender wins (American): 45
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Vichy French): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 973 | 1061 | 38% | 2023-03-26 | Lost |
| 1049 | 995 | 58% | 2020-09-19 | Lost |
| 1086 | 947 | 69% | 2020-03-06 | Won |
| 927 | 1010 | 38% | 2020-03-06 | Lost |
| 1207 | 1032 | 73% | 2020-03-04 | Won |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2018-10-30 | Lost |
| 956 | 911 | 56% | 2018-04-20 | Won |
| 1014 | 1141 | 32% | 2017-12-22 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-10-01 | Lost |
| 1032 | 943 | 63% | 2017-05-17 | Lost |
| 931 | 935 | 49% | 2017-03-05 | Won |
| 1087 | 1093 | 49% | 2015-08-30 | Won |
| 1228 | 1066 | 72% | 2010-02-11 | Won |
| 1095 | 1037 | 58% | 2009-11-07 | Tied |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2005-12-16 | Won |
| 928 | 1009 | 39% | 2005-09-18 | Lost |
| 933 | 1029 | 37% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1055 | 53% | 2001-01-06 | Lost |
| 1217 | 910 | 85% | 1994-06-22 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1053.7 vs 1027 has a 53.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).