Ad Hoc at Beaurains
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (10 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 11
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 984 | 984 | 50% | 2024-12-18 | Won |
| 1127 | 1119 | 51% | 2024-12-14 | Won |
| 1113 | 1226 | 34% | 2024-05-11 | Won |
| 948 | 1039 | 37% | 2024-01-20 | Lost |
| 955 | 1097 | 31% | 2021-01-02 | Won |
| 1238 | 983 | 81% | 2020-10-28 | Won |
| 1110 | 1030 | 61% | 2018-07-27 | Lost |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2009-01-26 | Won |
| 982 | 958 | 53% | 2007-07-14 | Won |
| 1151 | 928 | 78% | 2003-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1058.2 vs 1033.8 has a 53.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).