Stand Fast the Guards
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (15 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 24
Defender wins (British): 10
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (British): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 956 | 951 | 51% | 2025-06-21 | Won |
| 1109 | 1012 | 64% | 2024-12-12 | Won |
| 986 | 996 | 49% | 2024-10-02 | Won |
| 971 | 1012 | 44% | 2024-06-04 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1060 | 51% | 2023-03-02 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1067 | 49% | 2022-11-26 | Won |
| 964 | 1136 | 27% | 2022-02-08 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1245 | 24% | 2020-11-04 | Won |
| 1018 | 1024 | 49% | 2020-08-17 | Won |
| 1109 | 948 | 72% | 2020-01-22 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1076 | 69% | 2018-12-25 | Won |
| 1216 | 1125 | 63% | 2018-12-24 | Won |
| 1046 | 1000 | 57% | 2011-02-17 | Won |
| 1029 | 1077 | 43% | 2009-12-22 | Lost |
| 986 | 984 | 50% | 1994-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1051.9 vs 1047.5 has a 50.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).