Stand Fast the Guards
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (15 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 24
Defender wins (British): 10
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (British): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 884 | 951 | 40% | 2025-06-21 | Won |
| 982 | 1001 | 47% | 2024-12-12 | Won |
| 999 | 1228 | 21% | 2024-10-02 | Won |
| 1002 | 961 | 56% | 2024-06-04 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1060 | 51% | 2023-03-02 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1067 | 49% | 2022-11-26 | Won |
| 964 | 1136 | 27% | 2022-02-08 | Lost |
| 943 | 1220 | 17% | 2020-11-04 | Won |
| 1065 | 979 | 62% | 2020-08-17 | Won |
| 982 | 948 | 55% | 2020-01-22 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1162 | 58% | 2018-12-25 | Won |
| 1218 | 1195 | 53% | 2018-12-24 | Won |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2011-02-17 | Won |
| 1029 | 1019 | 51% | 2009-12-22 | Lost |
| 1065 | 984 | 61% | 1994-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1030.7 vs 1060.7 has a 45.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).