Stand Fast the Guards
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (15 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 24
Defender wins (British): 10
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (British): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 940 | 951 | 48% | 2025-06-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2024-12-12 | D | Won |
| 978 | 1000 | 47% | 2024-10-02 | | Won |
| 967 | 992 | 46% | 2024-06-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2023-03-02 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2022-11-26 | | Won |
| 965 | 1000 | 45% | 2022-02-08 | | Lost |
| 1164 | 1170 | 49% | 2020-11-04 | | Won |
| 1085 | 966 | 66% | 2020-08-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 948 | 57% | 2020-01-22 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1133 | 62% | 2018-12-25 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1091 | 68% | 2018-12-24 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2011-02-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2009-12-22 | | Lost |
| 998 | 1000 | 50% | 1994-10-08 | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1044.1 vs 1027.7 has a 52.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).