A Desperate Affair
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (17 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (British): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1092 | 987 | 65% | 2024-02-10 | Won |
| 1228 | 1118 | 65% | 2022-03-31 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1017 | 77% | 2022-03-30 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1035 | 61% | 2021-04-26 | Won |
| 1019 | 996 | 53% | 2020-10-24 | Lost |
| 945 | 948 | 50% | 2020-07-30 | Lost |
| 1097 | 954 | 69% | 2020-06-02 | Won |
| 945 | 975 | 46% | 2018-02-17 | Lost |
| 1150 | 707 | 93% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 1123 | 851 | 83% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
| 945 | 1090 | 30% | 2016-12-27 | Won |
| 1051 | 1080 | 46% | 2016-11-12 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1236 | 22% | 2014-09-28 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1129 | 47% | 2013-04-07 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1107 | 44% | 2012-08-26 | Lost |
| 962 | 974 | 48% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1182 | 42% | 2007-12-14 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1071.6 vs 1022.7 has a 56.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).