A Desperate Affair
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (17 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (British): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1092 | 999 | 63% | 2024-02-10 | Won |
| 1228 | 1118 | 65% | 2022-03-31 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1017 | 77% | 2022-03-30 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1035 | 68% | 2021-04-26 | Won |
| 954 | 1053 | 36% | 2020-10-24 | Lost |
| 982 | 948 | 55% | 2020-07-30 | Lost |
| 1065 | 979 | 62% | 2020-06-02 | Won |
| 982 | 975 | 51% | 2018-02-17 | Lost |
| 1150 | 756 | 91% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 1123 | 851 | 83% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
| 982 | 1090 | 35% | 2016-12-27 | Won |
| 1051 | 1080 | 46% | 2016-11-12 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1191 | 27% | 2014-09-28 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1134 | 46% | 2013-04-07 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1085 | 47% | 2012-08-26 | Lost |
| 998 | 938 | 59% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1170 | 49% | 2007-12-14 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1079.4 vs 1024.6 has a 57.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).