A Desperate Affair
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (18 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (British): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1141 | 1016 | 67% | 2024-02-10 | Won |
| 1228 | 1118 | 65% | 2022-03-31 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1017 | 77% | 2022-03-30 | Lost |
| 1241 | 1032 | 77% | 2021-04-26 | Won |
| 1017 | 973 | 56% | 2020-10-24 | Lost |
| 748 | 943 | 25% | 2020-07-30 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2020-06-02 | Won |
| 748 | 973 | 21% | 2018-02-17 | Lost |
| 1148 | 831 | 86% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 1157 | 853 | 85% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
| 748 | 1088 | 12% | 2016-12-27 | Won |
| 1068 | 1075 | 49% | 2016-11-12 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1141 | 33% | 2014-09-28 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1058 | 55% | 2013-04-07 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1073 | 45% | 2012-08-26 | Lost |
| 948 | 987 | 44% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
| 1189 | 748 | 93% | 2009-08-24 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1142 | 47% | 2007-12-14 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1050.1 vs 1004.9 has a 56.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).