A Desperate Affair
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (18 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (British): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 1041 | 64% | 2024-02-10 | Won |
| 1228 | 1118 | 65% | 2022-03-31 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1017 | 77% | 2022-03-30 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1031 | 72% | 2021-04-26 | Won |
| 949 | 1049 | 36% | 2020-10-24 | Lost |
| 802 | 949 | 30% | 2020-07-30 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2020-06-02 | Won |
| 802 | 973 | 27% | 2018-02-17 | Lost |
| 1149 | 754 | 91% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 1133 | 858 | 83% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
| 802 | 1090 | 16% | 2016-12-27 | Won |
| 1068 | 1074 | 49% | 2016-11-12 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1142 | 33% | 2014-09-28 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1065 | 54% | 2013-04-07 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1075 | 49% | 2012-08-26 | Lost |
| 967 | 970 | 50% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
| 1145 | 802 | 88% | 2009-08-24 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1121 | 51% | 2007-12-14 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1052 vs 1008.4 has a 56.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).