A Desperate Affair
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (17 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (British): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 1010 | 68% | 2024-02-10 | Won |
| 1228 | 1118 | 65% | 2022-03-31 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1017 | 77% | 2022-03-30 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1035 | 71% | 2021-04-26 | Won |
| 970 | 1050 | 39% | 2020-10-24 | Lost |
| 1162 | 948 | 77% | 2020-07-30 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1029 | 48% | 2020-06-02 | Won |
| 1162 | 974 | 75% | 2018-02-17 | Lost |
| 1149 | 755 | 91% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 1164 | 853 | 86% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1089 | 60% | 2016-12-27 | Won |
| 1068 | 1075 | 49% | 2016-11-12 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1143 | 33% | 2014-09-28 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1100 | 51% | 2013-04-07 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1083 | 48% | 2012-08-26 | Lost |
| 953 | 984 | 46% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1163 | 52% | 2007-12-14 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1115.2 vs 1025.1 has a 62.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).