Going To Church
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 330 (138 on the archive and 193 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 123
Defender wins (German (SS)): 207
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Canadian): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2025-09-08 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2025-04-10 | Lost | |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2025-04-10 | Won | |
| 1035 | 952 | 62% | 2025-01-24 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1185 | 26% | 2025-01-02 | A | Lost |
| 1000 | 952 | 57% | 2024-12-20 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1198 | 24% | 2024-08-01 | Lost | |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2024-01-27 | Lost | |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2023-12-07 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1032 | 45% | 2023-10-26 | Lost | |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2023-04-16 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2023-04-05 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 890 | 65% | 2023-03-31 | Lost | |
| 924 | 1001 | 39% | 2023-03-03 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1001 | 50% | 2023-03-03 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 970 | 54% | 2022-12-31 | Won | |
| 1004 | 1167 | 28% | 2022-11-16 | Lost | |
| 954 | 1431 | 6% | 2022-10-09 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2022-06-10 | Lost | |
| 909 | 1077 | 28% | 2022-04-14 | Lost | |
| 925 | 1018 | 37% | 2022-03-10 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2022-01-30 | Lost | |
| 1017 | 961 | 58% | 2021-12-18 | Lost | |
| 1172 | 932 | 80% | 2021-12-17 | Won | |
| 932 | 1172 | 20% | 2021-11-21 | Lost | |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2021-11-04 | Lost | |
| 980 | 1000 | 47% | 2021-10-29 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2021-10-16 | Lost | |
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | 2021-09-26 | Won | |
| 1224 | 1000 | 78% | 2021-03-27 | Won | |
| 926 | 1020 | 37% | 2021-03-18 | Lost | |
| 982 | 1000 | 47% | 2020-12-31 | Lost | |
| 1102 | 903 | 76% | 2020-09-07 | Lost | |
| 1431 | 1000 | 92% | 2020-09-01 | Won | |
| 987 | 1057 | 40% | 2020-07-25 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1016 | 48% | 2020-07-24 | Lost | |
| 966 | 1067 | 36% | 2020-06-24 | Lost | |
| 692 | 982 | 16% | 2020-06-24 | Lost | |
| 1040 | 955 | 62% | 2020-06-24 | Lost | |
| 995 | 1000 | 49% | 2020-05-17 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1013 | 48% | 2020-04-09 | Lost | |
| 916 | 1138 | 22% | 2020-03-14 | Lost | |
| 843 | 944 | 36% | 2020-02-23 | Lost | |
| 1229 | 989 | 80% | 2019-12-18 | Won | |
| 1229 | 1108 | 67% | 2019-11-06 | Won | |
| 1001 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-06-27 | Lost | |
| 1024 | 1263 | 20% | 2019-05-06 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2019-03-30 | Won | |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2019-03-22 | Won | |
| 1178 | 1132 | 57% | 2018-11-26 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1008 | 49% | 2018-11-10 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1218 | 22% | 2018-10-03 | Won | |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2018-10-01 | Lost | |
| 1116 | 1080 | 55% | 2018-09-28 | Won | |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2018-08-05 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2018-03-05 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2018-02-13 | Lost | |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2017-11-06 | Won | |
| 1013 | 1085 | 40% | 2017-10-01 | Lost | |
| 850 | 1133 | 16% | 2017-09-23 | Lost | |
| 948 | 904 | 56% | 2017-03-06 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 904 | 63% | 2017-03-06 | Lost | |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2016-12-15 | Won | |
| 983 | 1010 | 46% | 2016-12-04 | Lost | |
| 949 | 1055 | 35% | 2016-10-07 | Lost | |
| 874 | 1156 | 16% | 2016-08-14 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 985 | 52% | 2016-05-23 | Lost | |
| 971 | 1000 | 46% | 2016-04-29 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2016-04-04 | Lost | |
| 1013 | 926 | 62% | 2016-04-02 | Won | |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2016-02-13 | Won | |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2016-02-13 | Lost | |
| 1135 | 966 | 73% | 2016-01-10 | Won | |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2016-01-01 | Lost | |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2015-12-01 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2015-12-01 | Won | |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2015-11-24 | Won | |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2015-11-24 | Won | |
| 918 | 1056 | 31% | 2015-10-09 | Lost | |
| 960 | 926 | 55% | 2015-09-26 | Lost | |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2015-09-20 | Lost | |
| 974 | 1077 | 36% | 2015-06-19 | Lost | |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2015-04-24 | Won | |
| 928 | 983 | 42% | 2015-03-03 | Won | |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2015-02-17 | Won | |
| 1038 | 1035 | 50% | 2015-01-21 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1135 | 31% | 2014-12-07 | Lost | |
| 1126 | 999 | 68% | 2014-11-13 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 969 | 54% | 2014-03-02 | Won | |
| 953 | 1039 | 38% | 2014-01-27 | Lost | |
| 1033 | 1009 | 53% | 2013-12-30 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1085 | 38% | 2013-12-29 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1033 | 45% | 2013-12-03 | Lost | |
| 1085 | 1053 | 55% | 2013-10-14 | Lost | |
| 1107 | 1000 | 65% | 2013-06-02 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2013-05-11 | Won | |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2013-04-24 | Lost | |
| 953 | 1008 | 42% | 2013-03-04 | Lost | |
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2013-01-12 | Lost | |
| 982 | 1000 | 47% | 2012-12-17 | Lost | |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2012-09-20 | Won | |
| 1006 | 1000 | 51% | 2012-09-13 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 880 | 67% | 2012-09-02 | Lost | |
| 1155 | 1071 | 62% | 2012-06-17 | Lost | |
| 974 | 962 | 52% | 2012-06-12 | Won | |
| 1000 | 880 | 67% | 2012-01-12 | Won | |
| 999 | 1000 | 50% | 2012-01-08 | Won | |
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 2012-01-01 | Lost | |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2011-11-17 | Won | |
| 870 | 1093 | 22% | 2011-10-24 | Lost | |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2011-08-01 | Won | |
| 974 | 1000 | 46% | 2011-04-08 | Lost | |
| 982 | 936 | 57% | 2011-01-13 | Won | |
| 1028 | 968 | 59% | 2010-12-30 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2010-11-26 | Lost | |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2010-02-21 | Won | |
| 1000 | 963 | 55% | 2009-10-20 | Lost | |
| 1013 | 1000 | 52% | 2009-04-01 | Lost | |
| 1263 | 1000 | 82% | 2009-04-01 | Won | |
| 1219 | 981 | 80% | 2009-03-21 | Won | |
| 979 | 1219 | 20% | 2008-05-16 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2007-06-30 | Lost | |
| 1167 | 940 | 79% | 2006-11-18 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1073 | 40% | 2006-10-14 | Lost | |
| 832 | 1000 | 28% | 2006-05-13 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 832 | 72% | 2006-04-26 | Won | |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2006-04-24 | Lost | |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2006-01-02 | Lost | |
| 929 | 1035 | 35% | 2006-01-01 | Lost | |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2006-01-01 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2004-10-08 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1263 | 18% | 2004-02-08 | Lost | |
| 1157 | 832 | 87% | 2001-11-21 | Won | |
| 1157 | 1000 | 71% | 2000-03-20 | Lost | |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 1998-07-04 | Lost | |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 1997-03-21 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | Won |
Attacking (47 wins) average ELOs: 1020.9 vs 1026 has a 49.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).