The Defense of Luga
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (11 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 875 | 1168 | 16% | 2022-02-20 | Lost |
| 875 | 1168 | 16% | 2022-02-20 | Lost |
| 992 | 1051 | 42% | 2021-06-28 | Lost |
| 881 | 1004 | 33% | 2020-12-31 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1093 | 57% | 2020-05-21 | Won |
| 1173 | 1307 | 32% | 2020-03-17 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1005 | 65% | 2018-06-29 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1171 | 57% | 2017-10-07 | Tied |
| 1037 | 1053 | 48% | 2014-03-01 | Tied |
| 1081 | 921 | 72% | 2013-08-11 | Won |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2013-07-03 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1037.4 vs 1089 has a 42.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).