The Defense of Luga
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (12 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 11
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 1028 | 45% | 2025-08-17 | Lost |
| 975 | 1102 | 32% | 2022-02-20 | Lost |
| 975 | 1102 | 32% | 2022-02-20 | Lost |
| 997 | 1046 | 43% | 2021-06-28 | Lost |
| 881 | 1004 | 33% | 2020-12-31 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1108 | 55% | 2020-05-21 | Won |
| 1173 | 1307 | 32% | 2020-03-17 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1075 | 55% | 2018-06-29 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2017-10-07 | Tied |
| 1041 | 1019 | 53% | 2014-03-01 | Tied |
| 1086 | 918 | 72% | 2013-08-11 | Won |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2013-07-03 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1051.6 vs 1076.8 has a 46.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).