The Defense of Luga
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (11 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 869 | 1199 | 13% | 2022-02-20 | Lost |
| 869 | 1199 | 13% | 2022-02-20 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2021-06-28 | Lost |
| 881 | 1004 | 33% | 2020-12-31 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1094 | 57% | 2020-05-21 | Won |
| 1173 | 1307 | 32% | 2020-03-17 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1017 | 63% | 2018-06-29 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1171 | 57% | 2017-10-07 | Tied |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2014-03-01 | Tied |
| 1125 | 876 | 81% | 2013-08-11 | Won |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2013-07-03 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1043.1 vs 1087.6 has a 43.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).