Hill 253.5
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (29 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (Russian): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 978 | 865 | 66% | 2024-03-17 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1011 | 53% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 1083 | 962 | 67% | 2021-05-06 | Won |
| 1150 | 932 | 78% | 2020-10-24 | Won |
| 1004 | 1173 | 27% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 1058 | 1017 | 56% | 2020-07-14 | Won |
| 1118 | 1195 | 39% | 2020-01-28 | Lost |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2020-01-14 | Won |
| 1009 | 1011 | 50% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
| 1195 | 1118 | 61% | 2018-06-01 | Won |
| 963 | 979 | 48% | 2017-10-24 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1039 | 58% | 2017-10-17 | Won |
| 960 | 1195 | 21% | 2016-06-28 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2016-01-03 | Lost |
| 921 | 1023 | 36% | 2014-04-30 | Lost |
| 865 | 1195 | 13% | 2013-11-03 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1061 | 60% | 2013-04-03 | Won |
| 1302 | 1110 | 75% | 2012-10-28 | Lost |
| 1066 | 995 | 60% | 2012-09-24 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1137 | 51% | 2012-06-09 | Won |
| 918 | 1195 | 17% | 2010-11-18 | Lost |
| 1023 | 865 | 71% | 2009-12-12 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1081 | 61% | 2009-12-11 | Lost |
| 1302 | 993 | 86% | 2009-11-15 | Lost |
| 871 | 1002 | 32% | 2009-09-29 | Won |
| 952 | 1025 | 40% | 2006-09-05 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1218 | 27% | 2003-08-31 | Lost |
| 911 | 1205 | 16% | 1993-06-11 | Won |
| 1105 | 1166 | 41% | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1058.1 vs 1067.5 has a 48.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).