Hill 253.5
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (29 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (Russian): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 948 | 1071 | 33% | 2024-03-17 | Lost |
| 1031 | 977 | 58% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 1025 | 1009 | 52% | 2021-05-06 | Won |
| 1149 | 932 | 78% | 2020-10-24 | Won |
| 1005 | 1173 | 28% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 1107 | 1029 | 61% | 2020-07-14 | Won |
| 1111 | 1114 | 50% | 2020-01-28 | Lost |
| 1140 | 968 | 73% | 2020-01-14 | Won |
| 947 | 1044 | 36% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
| 1114 | 1111 | 50% | 2018-06-01 | Won |
| 963 | 979 | 48% | 2017-10-24 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1040 | 58% | 2017-10-17 | Won |
| 961 | 1114 | 29% | 2016-06-28 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2016-01-03 | Lost |
| 955 | 1022 | 40% | 2014-04-30 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1205 | 32% | 2013-11-03 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1077 | 58% | 2013-04-03 | Won |
| 1310 | 1111 | 76% | 2012-10-28 | Lost |
| 1067 | 994 | 60% | 2012-09-24 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1137 | 56% | 2012-06-09 | Won |
| 919 | 946 | 46% | 2010-11-18 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1071 | 43% | 2009-12-12 | Lost |
| 1184 | 1081 | 64% | 2009-12-11 | Lost |
| 1310 | 992 | 86% | 2009-11-15 | Lost |
| 872 | 1001 | 32% | 2009-09-29 | Won |
| 952 | 1025 | 40% | 2006-09-05 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1218 | 31% | 2003-08-31 | Lost |
| 911 | 1055 | 30% | 1993-06-11 | Won |
| 1138 | 1160 | 47% | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1064.7 vs 1064.8 has a 49.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).