Hill 253.5
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (30 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Russian): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 985 | 51% | 2024-03-17 | Lost |
| 1049 | 989 | 59% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2021-05-06 | Won |
| 1151 | 931 | 78% | 2020-10-24 | Won |
| 992 | 1173 | 26% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 1011 | 1020 | 49% | 2020-07-14 | Won |
| 1117 | 1114 | 50% | 2020-01-28 | Lost |
| 1158 | 971 | 75% | 2020-01-14 | Won |
| 1135 | 1178 | 44% | 2018-12-18 | Lost |
| 1042 | 989 | 58% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
| 1114 | 1117 | 50% | 2018-06-01 | Won |
| 949 | 979 | 46% | 2017-10-24 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1039 | 60% | 2017-10-17 | Won |
| 958 | 1114 | 29% | 2016-06-28 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2016-01-03 | Lost |
| 918 | 1099 | 26% | 2014-04-30 | Lost |
| 985 | 1125 | 31% | 2013-11-03 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1072 | 59% | 2013-04-03 | Won |
| 1274 | 1110 | 72% | 2012-10-28 | Lost |
| 1067 | 995 | 60% | 2012-09-24 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1138 | 54% | 2012-06-09 | Won |
| 919 | 930 | 48% | 2010-11-18 | Lost |
| 1099 | 985 | 66% | 2009-12-12 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1080 | 63% | 2009-12-11 | Lost |
| 1274 | 992 | 84% | 2009-11-15 | Lost |
| 871 | 1023 | 29% | 2009-09-29 | Won |
| 952 | 1025 | 40% | 2006-09-05 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1208 | 36% | 2003-08-31 | Lost |
| 911 | 1177 | 18% | 1993-06-11 | Won |
| 1083 | 1095 | 48% | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1063.9 vs 1063 has a 50.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).