Hill 253.5
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (33 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 29
Defender wins (Russian): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 1043 | 43% | 2024-03-17 | Lost |
| 1049 | 989 | 59% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 1038 | 1005 | 55% | 2021-05-06 | Won |
| 1152 | 931 | 78% | 2020-10-24 | Won |
| 972 | 1173 | 24% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 1024 | 1020 | 51% | 2020-07-14 | Won |
| 1117 | 1054 | 59% | 2020-01-28 | Lost |
| 1113 | 970 | 69% | 2020-01-14 | Won |
| 1136 | 1179 | 44% | 2018-12-18 | Lost |
| 934 | 1066 | 32% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
| 1054 | 1117 | 41% | 2018-06-01 | Won |
| 950 | 979 | 46% | 2017-10-24 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1040 | 60% | 2017-10-17 | Won |
| 958 | 1054 | 37% | 2016-06-28 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2016-01-03 | Lost |
| 941 | 1117 | 27% | 2014-04-30 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1131 | 38% | 2013-11-03 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1072 | 59% | 2013-04-03 | Won |
| 1232 | 1111 | 67% | 2012-10-28 | Lost |
| 1071 | 996 | 61% | 2012-09-24 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1138 | 54% | 2012-06-09 | Won |
| 920 | 958 | 45% | 2010-11-18 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1043 | 60% | 2009-12-12 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1083 | 65% | 2009-12-11 | Lost |
| 1232 | 992 | 80% | 2009-11-15 | Lost |
| 870 | 1006 | 31% | 2009-09-29 | Won |
| 952 | 1034 | 38% | 2006-09-05 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1209 | 28% | 2003-08-31 | Lost |
| 1264 | 978 | 84% | 2000-07-15 | Won |
| 1264 | 1094 | 73% | 1999-04-30 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1149 | 66% | 1999-04-25 | Won |
| 911 | 1176 | 18% | 1993-06-11 | Won |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1073.3 vs 1065.2 has a 51.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).