Blood and Guts
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 123 (14 on the archive and 109 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 75
Defender wins (Russian): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 914 | 1053 | 31% | 2023-01-26 | Won |
| 1030 | 1096 | 41% | 2017-09-23 | Tied |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2016-05-17 | Won |
| 1203 | 1228 | 46% | 2014-08-05 | Won |
| 1019 | 1037 | 47% | 2013-11-08 | Lost |
| 694 | 1118 | 8% | 2013-08-17 | Lost |
| 1100 | 871 | 79% | 2011-09-12 | Won |
| 1228 | 1001 | 79% | 2007-08-19 | Won |
| 969 | 1050 | 39% | 2003-09-28 | Lost |
| 613 | 1100 | 6% | 2002-11-23 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2000-01-09 | Won |
| 987 | 1115 | 32% | 1999-05-11 | Lost |
| 880 | 1050 | 27% | 1998-11-13 | Won |
| 1036 | 893 | 69% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 984.5 vs 1052.9 has a 40.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).