Blood and Guts
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 123 (14 on the archive and 109 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 50
Defender wins (Russian): 72
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 954 | 1043 | 37% | 2023-01-26 | Won |
| 1030 | 1108 | 39% | 2017-09-23 | Tied |
| 1029 | 1013 | 52% | 2016-05-17 | Won |
| 1035 | 1228 | 25% | 2014-08-05 | Won |
| 1017 | 1035 | 47% | 2013-11-08 | Lost |
| 693 | 1050 | 11% | 2013-08-17 | Lost |
| 1100 | 870 | 79% | 2011-09-12 | Won |
| 1228 | 1006 | 78% | 2007-08-19 | Won |
| 969 | 1068 | 36% | 2003-09-28 | Lost |
| 614 | 1100 | 6% | 2002-11-23 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2000-01-09 | Won |
| 987 | 1123 | 31% | 1999-05-11 | Lost |
| 880 | 1068 | 25% | 1998-11-13 | Won |
| 1028 | 893 | 69% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 976 vs 1050 has a 39.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).