The Red House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (Russian): 12
Defender wins (German): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1053 | 1026 | 54% | 2024-02-28 | Won |
| 938 | 1045 | 35% | 2022-04-30 | Won |
| 948 | 1018 | 40% | 2021-10-09 | Won |
| 1011 | 880 | 68% | 2020-07-02 | Won |
| 1070 | 968 | 64% | 2018-05-12 | Won |
| 1094 | 1040 | 58% | 2018-05-08 | Lost |
| 1058 | 968 | 63% | 2018-04-08 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1002 | 54% | 2017-06-30 | Lost |
| 1183 | 983 | 76% | 2015-04-06 | Lost |
| 1017 | 697 | 86% | 2013-05-25 | Won |
| 948 | 1040 | 37% | 2013-02-03 | Won |
| 1116 | 1130 | 48% | 2011-12-08 | Won |
| 1183 | 1148 | 55% | 2006-10-12 | Won |
| 1025 | 912 | 66% | 2006-10-04 | Won |
| 1148 | 994 | 71% | 2006-01-12 | Won |
| 1055 | 1145 | 37% | 2002-01-26 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1064 | 47% | 2001-02-03 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1063 | 60% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1058.7 vs 1006.8 has a 57.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).