The Red House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (Russian): 13
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 997 | 1026 | 46% | 2024-02-28 | Won |
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2022-04-30 | Won |
| 968 | 1135 | 28% | 2021-12-11 | Lost |
| 997 | 1002 | 49% | 2021-10-09 | Won |
| 1011 | 917 | 63% | 2020-07-02 | Won |
| 1190 | 968 | 78% | 2018-05-12 | Won |
| 1108 | 1039 | 60% | 2018-05-08 | Lost |
| 1058 | 968 | 63% | 2018-04-08 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1029 | 48% | 2017-06-30 | Lost |
| 1140 | 983 | 71% | 2015-04-06 | Lost |
| 1050 | 693 | 89% | 2013-05-25 | Won |
| 951 | 1040 | 37% | 2013-02-03 | Won |
| 1123 | 1151 | 46% | 2011-12-08 | Won |
| 1133 | 1176 | 44% | 2006-10-12 | Won |
| 1025 | 913 | 66% | 2006-10-04 | Won |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2006-01-18 | Won |
| 1176 | 1014 | 72% | 2006-01-12 | Won |
| 1153 | 1160 | 49% | 2002-01-26 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1112 | 48% | 2001-02-03 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1028 | 65% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1071.4 vs 1017.5 has a 57.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).