The Red House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (Russian): 12
Defender wins (German): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1043 | 1026 | 52% | 2024-02-28 | Won |
| 1002 | 1004 | 50% | 2022-04-30 | Won |
| 1009 | 1011 | 50% | 2021-10-09 | Won |
| 1010 | 937 | 60% | 2020-07-02 | Won |
| 1064 | 967 | 64% | 2018-05-12 | Won |
| 1093 | 1039 | 58% | 2018-05-08 | Lost |
| 1058 | 967 | 63% | 2018-04-08 | Lost |
| 951 | 1093 | 31% | 2017-06-30 | Lost |
| 1158 | 983 | 73% | 2015-04-06 | Lost |
| 1079 | 697 | 90% | 2013-05-25 | Won |
| 860 | 1039 | 26% | 2013-02-03 | Won |
| 1117 | 1136 | 47% | 2011-12-08 | Won |
| 1158 | 1149 | 51% | 2006-10-12 | Won |
| 1025 | 913 | 66% | 2006-10-04 | Won |
| 1149 | 983 | 72% | 2006-01-12 | Won |
| 1205 | 1147 | 58% | 2002-01-26 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1062 | 48% | 2001-02-03 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1024 | 66% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1064.7 vs 1009.8 has a 57.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).