The Barrikady
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 112 (11 on the archive and 101 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 54
Defender wins (Russian): 57
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1020 | 1000 | 53% | 2015-09-06 | | Lost |
| 1071 | 954 | 66% | 2014-01-05 | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1133 | 34% | 2012-12-14 | | Won |
| 987 | 1060 | 40% | 2012-04-04 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2012-01-21 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2009-05-15 | | Lost |
| 827 | 1000 | 27% | 2006-01-11 | | Lost |
| 1020 | 1000 | 53% | 2004-12-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1020 | 47% | 2004-09-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1034 | 45% | 2002-05-16 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 1996-07-01 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1017.5 vs 1032 has a 47.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).