Marechal's Mill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (American): 7
Defender wins (German (SS)): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1156 | 1243 | 38% | 2025-09-25 | | Lost |
| 944 | 1051 | 35% | 2025-02-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2019-08-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2015-12-20 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1087 | 48% | 2009-10-30 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2005-06-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 827 | 73% | 2001-02-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 1997-12-14 | | Won |
| 866 | 1121 | 19% | 1996-06-25 | | Won |
| 1121 | 866 | 81% | 1996-06-25 | | Won |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1031.6 vs 1050.6 has a 47.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).