Marechal's Mill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (11 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 26
Defender wins (German (SS)): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 937 | 1254 | 14% | 2025-09-25 | Lost |
| 942 | 1028 | 38% | 2025-02-08 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1114 | 52% | 2019-08-08 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
| 1063 | 1067 | 49% | 2009-10-30 | Won |
| 1100 | 614 | 94% | 2005-06-04 | Lost |
| 1049 | 827 | 78% | 2001-02-05 | Won |
| 890 | 1100 | 23% | 1997-12-14 | Won |
| 866 | 1127 | 18% | 1996-06-25 | Won |
| 1127 | 866 | 82% | 1996-06-25 | Won |
| 1103 | 1089 | 52% | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1026.5 vs 1015.8 has a 51.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).