Marechal's Mill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (11 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 26
Defender wins (German (SS)): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1023 | 1256 | 21% | 2025-09-25 | Lost |
| 967 | 1063 | 37% | 2025-02-08 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2019-08-08 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
| 1068 | 1086 | 47% | 2009-10-30 | Won |
| 1101 | 613 | 94% | 2005-06-04 | Lost |
| 1049 | 827 | 78% | 2001-02-05 | Won |
| 992 | 1101 | 35% | 1997-12-14 | Won |
| 866 | 1159 | 16% | 1996-06-25 | Won |
| 1159 | 866 | 84% | 1996-06-25 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1047 vs 1023.9 has a 53.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).