The Bridge at Cheneux
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (American): 7
Defender wins (German (SS)): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2024-10-12 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-11-26 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2019-12-11 | Lost |
| 919 | 1082 | 28% | 2019-10-13 | Lost |
| 986 | 1141 | 29% | 2019-04-12 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1217 | 29% | 2018-08-27 | Won |
| 907 | 1219 | 14% | 2018-01-06 | Lost |
| 900 | 1114 | 23% | 2016-10-02 | Lost |
| 978 | 789 | 75% | 2015-01-16 | Lost |
| 1099 | 998 | 64% | 2010-04-08 | Won |
| 920 | 920 | 50% | 2009-10-27 | Won |
| 983 | 930 | 58% | 2005-06-17 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1046 | 57% | 2005-06-01 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1016 | 76% | 1999-04-04 | Won |
| 1014 | 1026 | 48% | 1998-01-03 | Won |
| 1098 | 890 | 77% | 1997-12-21 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1031.4 vs 1043.4 has a 48.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).