Ham and Bloody Jam
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (21 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 40
Defender wins (German): 47
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
990 | 984 | 51% | 2024-03-02 | Won |
876 | 1024 | 30% | 2022-12-28 | Lost |
1152 | 1118 | 55% | 2022-11-24 | Lost |
1019 | 1058 | 44% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
1152 | 1118 | 55% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
1019 | 1058 | 44% | 2022-10-25 | Lost |
890 | 896 | 49% | 2022-08-30 | Lost |
1125 | 1125 | 50% | 2020-12-20 | Lost |
1058 | 1144 | 38% | 2019-07-20 | Won |
1137 | 1135 | 50% | 2019-06-05 | Won |
1058 | 966 | 63% | 2018-04-15 | Won |
961 | 969 | 49% | 2018-02-01 | Lost |
1019 | 1036 | 48% | 2015-03-06 | Won |
1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2015-02-23 | Lost |
972 | 949 | 53% | 2011-11-04 | Lost |
1040 | 1043 | 50% | 2010-05-31 | Lost |
851 | 1019 | 28% | 2009-11-15 | Lost |
919 | 919 | 50% | 2009-02-05 | Lost |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2008-01-03 | Won |
1067 | 1096 | 46% | 2004-03-17 | Won |
890 | 1097 | 23% | 1998-05-16 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1016.8 vs 1043.6 has a 46.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).