Ham and Bloody Jam
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (British): 10
Defender wins (German): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1098 | 1205 | 35% | 2025-02-04 | Lost |
| 832 | 856 | 47% | 2024-07-25 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1009 | 50% | 2024-03-02 | Won |
| 871 | 1008 | 31% | 2022-12-28 | Lost |
| 1214 | 1118 | 63% | 2022-11-24 | Lost |
| 1214 | 1118 | 63% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
| 1017 | 865 | 71% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
| 1017 | 865 | 71% | 2022-10-25 | Lost |
| 924 | 854 | 60% | 2022-08-30 | Lost |
| 831 | 1053 | 22% | 2022-02-11 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-12-20 | Lost |
| 865 | 1195 | 13% | 2019-07-20 | Won |
| 1137 | 1159 | 47% | 2019-06-05 | Won |
| 1058 | 967 | 63% | 2018-04-15 | Won |
| 883 | 974 | 37% | 2018-02-01 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2015-03-06 | Won |
| 1029 | 1099 | 40% | 2015-02-23 | Lost |
| 973 | 949 | 53% | 2011-11-04 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1040 | 50% | 2010-05-31 | Lost |
| 852 | 1018 | 28% | 2009-11-15 | Lost |
| 920 | 920 | 50% | 2009-02-05 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1020 | 65% | 2008-01-03 | Won |
| 1070 | 1097 | 46% | 2004-03-17 | Won |
| 1205 | 1049 | 71% | 2000-10-10 | Lost |
| 890 | 1098 | 23% | 1998-05-16 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1007.4 vs 1026.5 has a 47.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).