China Girl
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 5
Defender wins (Japanese): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-12-22 | Lost |
| 1079 | 921 | 71% | 2015-12-27 | Won |
| 1228 | 870 | 89% | 2014-09-10 | Won |
| 1066 | 924 | 69% | 2014-06-06 | Won |
| 1066 | 924 | 69% | 2014-06-06 | Won |
| 924 | 1066 | 31% | 2013-12-22 | Lost |
| 924 | 1066 | 31% | 2013-12-21 | Lost |
| 848 | 880 | 45% | 2010-04-17 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1062 | 53% | 2004-01-18 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1002 | 50% | 2003-08-28 | Won |
| 1121 | 1205 | 38% | 2002-08-04 | Lost |
| 940 | 1050 | 35% | 2000-06-02 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1024 | 63% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1166 | 1105 | 59% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1046.4 vs 1013.4 has a 54.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).