China Girl
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (16 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 20
Defender wins (Japanese): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 841 | 999 | 29% | 2026-05-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 873 | 68% | 2025-04-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2019-12-22 | | Lost |
| 1062 | 972 | 63% | 2015-12-27 | | Won |
| 1233 | 870 | 89% | 2014-09-10 | | Won |
| 1071 | 841 | 79% | 2014-06-06 | | Won |
| 1071 | 841 | 79% | 2014-06-06 | | Won |
| 841 | 1071 | 21% | 2013-12-22 | | Lost |
| 841 | 1071 | 21% | 2013-12-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 847 | 71% | 2010-04-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1004 | 49% | 2004-01-18 | | Lost |
| 988 | 1071 | 38% | 2003-08-28 | | Won |
| 1159 | 1152 | 51% | 2002-08-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1033 | 45% | 2000-06-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 1988-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1006.7 vs 992.4 has a 52.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).