China Girl
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 6
Defender wins (Japanese): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 877 | 882 | 49% | 2025-04-09 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-12-22 | Lost |
| 1050 | 922 | 68% | 2015-12-27 | Won |
| 1228 | 870 | 89% | 2014-09-10 | Won |
| 1067 | 889 | 74% | 2014-06-06 | Won |
| 1067 | 889 | 74% | 2014-06-06 | Won |
| 889 | 1067 | 26% | 2013-12-22 | Lost |
| 889 | 1067 | 26% | 2013-12-21 | Lost |
| 846 | 875 | 46% | 2010-04-17 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1123 | 44% | 2004-01-18 | Lost |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2003-08-28 | Won |
| 1136 | 1156 | 47% | 2002-08-04 | Lost |
| 942 | 1051 | 35% | 2000-06-02 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1028 | 63% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1023 vs 1006.3 has a 52.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).