Bailey's Demise
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (15 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 27
Defender wins (Japanese): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1103 | 1058 | 56% | 2024-01-29 | Lost |
| 967 | 1139 | 27% | 2023-01-23 | Won |
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2020-09-19 | Won |
| 1014 | 1089 | 39% | 2020-08-01 | Won |
| 1139 | 1055 | 62% | 2020-06-14 | Won |
| 1114 | 1127 | 48% | 2018-11-27 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1099 | 45% | 2011-01-13 | Won |
| 973 | 959 | 52% | 2009-07-06 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1152 | 46% | 2008-10-08 | Won |
| 1125 | 1139 | 48% | 2007-08-18 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1228 | 23% | 2007-05-19 | Won |
| 1139 | 1065 | 60% | 2005-07-27 | Won |
| 1152 | 892 | 82% | 2002-10-07 | Won |
| 967 | 1028 | 41% | 2002-04-27 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1070.5 vs 1072.3 has a 49.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).