Bailey's Demise
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (17 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 28
Defender wins (Japanese): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1102 | 1079 | 53% | 2024-01-29 | Lost |
| 952 | 1175 | 22% | 2023-01-23 | Won |
| 901 | 1178 | 17% | 2020-09-19 | Won |
| 1190 | 1080 | 65% | 2020-08-01 | Won |
| 1175 | 1030 | 70% | 2020-06-14 | Won |
| 1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2018-11-27 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1110 | 45% | 2011-01-13 | Won |
| 971 | 915 | 58% | 2009-07-06 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1141 | 47% | 2008-10-08 | Won |
| 1125 | 983 | 69% | 2007-08-18 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1233 | 23% | 2007-05-19 | Won |
| 983 | 1065 | 38% | 2005-07-27 | Won |
| 1263 | 1271 | 49% | 2003-06-27 | Won |
| 1141 | 892 | 81% | 2002-10-07 | Won |
| 978 | 1029 | 43% | 2002-04-27 | Won |
| 1283 | 1343 | 41% | 2002-01-05 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1090.8 vs 1106.1 has a 47.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).