The Sand Spit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (Japanese): 7
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2024-10-05 | Won |
| 1189 | 974 | 78% | 2023-08-15 | Won |
| 1054 | 1189 | 31% | 2021-01-26 | Won |
| 1014 | 1044 | 46% | 2020-08-16 | Won |
| 1107 | 1039 | 60% | 2015-03-03 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1014 | 53% | 2013-09-21 | Won |
| 1041 | 1027 | 52% | 2007-04-18 | Won |
| 1115 | 1154 | 44% | 2002-12-12 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1066.6 vs 1052.3 has a 52.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).