The Sand Spit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (8 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 11
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 968 | 953 | 52% | 2024-10-05 | Won |
| 1156 | 967 | 75% | 2023-08-15 | Won |
| 1055 | 1156 | 36% | 2021-01-26 | Won |
| 1014 | 1065 | 43% | 2020-08-16 | Won |
| 1106 | 1039 | 60% | 2015-03-03 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1014 | 52% | 2013-09-21 | Won |
| 1041 | 1027 | 52% | 2007-04-18 | Won |
| 1127 | 1121 | 51% | 2002-12-12 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1061.9 vs 1042.8 has a 52.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).