To the Matter Born
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (8 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 4
Defender wins (German): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1063 | 1072 | 49% | 2023-11-17 | Lost |
| 1201 | 1073 | 68% | 2020-06-03 | Won |
| 980 | 1073 | 37% | 2019-11-26 | Lost |
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2018-02-24 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1233 | 36% | 2013-02-01 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1032 | 65% | 2004-09-18 | Lost |
| 1200 | 1166 | 55% | 2003-07-14 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1087.5 vs 1076.8 has a 51.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).