A Few Rounds
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (13 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 36
Defender wins (Canadian): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1067 | 1100 | 45% | 2024-10-04 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1071 | 82% | 2024-08-27 | Won |
| 941 | 941 | 50% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
| 1122 | 904 | 78% | 2023-11-17 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1173 | 50% | 2020-04-13 | Lost |
| 1063 | 996 | 60% | 2019-05-17 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1104 | 37% | 2019-05-17 | Won |
| 931 | 1077 | 30% | 2012-04-27 | Won |
| 982 | 936 | 57% | 2010-11-20 | Won |
| 1089 | 1202 | 34% | 2008-08-22 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1203 | 43% | 2006-03-05 | Won |
| 1105 | 1163 | 42% | 2003-10-12 | Lost |
| 1216 | 994 | 78% | 2003-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1091.2 vs 1066.5 has a 53.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).