A Few Rounds
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (14 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 36
Defender wins (Canadian): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1087 | 1136 | 43% | 2024-10-04 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1068 | 70% | 2024-08-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 941 | 58% | 2024-03-17 | | Won |
| 1007 | 1000 | 51% | 2023-11-17 | | Lost |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2020-04-13 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1045 | 45% | 2019-05-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1077 | 39% | 2019-05-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 2012-04-27 | | Won |
| 982 | 936 | 57% | 2010-11-20 | | Won |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2008-08-22 | | Lost |
| 1164 | 1172 | 49% | 2006-03-05 | | Won |
| 1077 | 1185 | 35% | 2003-10-12 | | Lost |
| 1185 | 987 | 76% | 2003-04-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2003-02-09 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1068.8 vs 1065.9 has a 50.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).