A Few Rounds
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 80 (12 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 46
Defender wins (Canadian): 34
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 934 | 1139 | 24% | 2024-10-04 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1041 | 82% | 2024-08-27 | Won |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
| 1083 | 902 | 74% | 2023-11-17 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2020-04-13 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1009 | 61% | 2019-05-17 | Lost |
| 998 | 1026 | 46% | 2019-05-17 | Won |
| 933 | 1022 | 37% | 2012-04-27 | Won |
| 982 | 938 | 56% | 2010-11-20 | Won |
| 1120 | 1055 | 59% | 2006-03-05 | Won |
| 1028 | 1138 | 35% | 2003-10-12 | Lost |
| 1275 | 951 | 87% | 2003-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1069.3 vs 1025.3 has a 56.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).