First to Strike
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (14 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 43
Defender wins (Russian): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1054 | 1064 | 49% | 2017-05-21 | Won |
| 1056 | 933 | 67% | 2014-12-26 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1040 | 45% | 2013-06-08 | Won |
| 1039 | 1028 | 52% | 2010-01-01 | Lost |
| 1269 | 1035 | 79% | 2009-11-04 | Won |
| 1027 | 1036 | 49% | 2006-06-24 | Lost |
| 956 | 1220 | 18% | 2006-03-14 | Lost |
| 1101 | 918 | 74% | 2003-06-14 | Won |
| 1027 | 1343 | 14% | 1999-03-04 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1008 | 51% | 1996-02-28 | Lost |
| 1178 | 911 | 82% | 1993-04-09 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | | Won |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Won |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1054.9 vs 1046 has a 51.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).