First to Strike
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (13 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 43
Defender wins (Russian): 45
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1190 | 1195 | 49% | 2017-05-21 | Won |
| 1045 | 933 | 66% | 2014-12-26 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1079 | 40% | 2013-06-08 | Won |
| 1039 | 1040 | 50% | 2010-01-01 | Lost |
| 1259 | 1029 | 79% | 2009-11-04 | Won |
| 1027 | 1037 | 49% | 2006-06-24 | Lost |
| 955 | 1310 | 11% | 2006-03-14 | Lost |
| 1098 | 938 | 72% | 2003-06-14 | Won |
| 1024 | 1008 | 52% | 1996-02-28 | Lost |
| 1205 | 911 | 84% | 1993-04-09 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1105 | 35% | | Won |
| 1166 | 1105 | 59% | | Won |
| 1166 | 1105 | 59% | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1090.8 vs 1061.2 has a 54.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).