Preparing the Way
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (9 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Russian): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 928 | 1151 | 22% | 2022-02-20 | Won |
| 928 | 1151 | 22% | 2022-02-18 | Lost |
| 964 | 1014 | 43% | 2016-09-24 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1140 | 50% | 1997-08-15 | Won |
| 979 | 984 | 49% | 1995-05-06 | Won |
| 1118 | 1113 | 51% | 1995-04-17 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1039 | 47% | | Won |
| 1021 | 1039 | 47% | | Won |
| 1021 | 1039 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1013 vs 1074.4 has a 41.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).