Preparing the Way
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (8 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 26
Defender wins (Russian): 34
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 987 | 56% | 2022-02-20 | Won |
| 1032 | 987 | 56% | 2022-02-18 | Lost |
| 999 | 1025 | 46% | 2016-09-24 | Lost |
| 931 | 952 | 47% | 1995-05-06 | Won |
| 1118 | 1125 | 49% | 1995-04-17 | Lost |
| 841 | 1073 | 21% | | Won |
| 841 | 1073 | 21% | | Won |
| 841 | 1073 | 21% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 954.4 vs 1036.9 has a 38.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).