Preparing the Way
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (9 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Russian): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2022-02-20 | Won |
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2022-02-18 | Lost |
| 951 | 1014 | 41% | 2016-09-24 | Lost |
| 945 | 1152 | 23% | 1997-08-15 | Won |
| 1020 | 985 | 55% | 1995-05-06 | Won |
| 1118 | 1156 | 45% | 1995-04-17 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Won |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Won |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1052.1 vs 1064.4 has a 48.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).