Swamp Cats
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (German): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1144 | 1046 | 64% | 2024-05-09 | Won |
| 919 | 1158 | 20% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1008 | 1063 | 42% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
| 1082 | 872 | 77% | 2023-12-18 | Won |
| 978 | 789 | 75% | 2022-10-24 | Won |
| 885 | 1219 | 13% | 2018-09-21 | Won |
| 1141 | 1090 | 57% | 2013-02-15 | Lost |
| 1097 | 921 | 73% | 2011-10-16 | Won |
| 1144 | 944 | 76% | 2011-08-20 | Won |
| 1147 | 1175 | 46% | 2011-08-01 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1228 | 32% | 2009-02-04 | Lost |
| 1254 | 1014 | 80% | 2004-10-01 | Won |
| 1187 | 1133 | 58% | 2004-09-04 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1014 | 62% | 2003-10-05 | Won |
| 1110 | 1000 | 65% | 2003-01-01 | Won |
| 1223 | 983 | 80% | 2000-10-14 | Lost |
| 1259 | 1029 | 79% | 2000-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1104.2 vs 1039.9 has a 59.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).