Swamp Cats
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (Russian): 13
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1170 | 1040 | 68% | 2024-05-09 | Won |
| 915 | 1212 | 15% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1068 | 924 | 70% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
| 1014 | 940 | 60% | 2023-12-18 | Won |
| 984 | 755 | 79% | 2022-10-24 | Won |
| 902 | 1083 | 26% | 2018-09-21 | Won |
| 1213 | 1094 | 66% | 2013-02-15 | Lost |
| 1096 | 921 | 73% | 2011-10-16 | Won |
| 1144 | 909 | 79% | 2011-08-20 | Won |
| 1121 | 1202 | 39% | 2011-08-01 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1233 | 31% | 2009-02-04 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1032 | 65% | 2005-10-04 | Lost |
| 1313 | 1029 | 84% | 2004-10-01 | Won |
| 1197 | 1159 | 55% | 2004-09-04 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1294 | 46% | 2004-05-30 | Won |
| 1127 | 1029 | 64% | 2003-10-05 | Won |
| 1120 | 1010 | 65% | 2003-01-01 | Won |
| 1141 | 993 | 70% | 2002-11-02 | Won |
| 1141 | 1073 | 60% | 2002-08-10 | Lost |
| 1159 | 984 | 73% | 2000-10-14 | Lost |
| 1269 | 1035 | 79% | 2000-01-01 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1290 | 46% | 1999-05-03 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1129.9 vs 1056.4 has a 60.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).