Swamp Cats
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (Russian): 13
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1170 | 1032 | 69% | 2024-05-09 | Won |
| 915 | 1182 | 18% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1063 | 924 | 69% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
| 1023 | 941 | 62% | 2023-12-18 | Won |
| 986 | 756 | 79% | 2022-10-24 | Won |
| 920 | 1064 | 30% | 2018-09-21 | Won |
| 1190 | 1094 | 63% | 2013-02-15 | Lost |
| 1096 | 921 | 73% | 2011-10-16 | Won |
| 1144 | 947 | 76% | 2011-08-20 | Won |
| 1110 | 1192 | 38% | 2011-08-01 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1233 | 31% | 2009-02-04 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1032 | 65% | 2005-10-04 | Lost |
| 1303 | 1019 | 84% | 2004-10-01 | Won |
| 1197 | 1159 | 55% | 2004-09-04 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1292 | 46% | 2004-05-30 | Won |
| 1127 | 1019 | 65% | 2003-10-05 | Won |
| 1120 | 1010 | 65% | 2003-01-01 | Won |
| 1140 | 1002 | 69% | 2002-11-02 | Won |
| 1140 | 1073 | 60% | 2002-08-10 | Lost |
| 1193 | 984 | 77% | 2000-10-14 | Lost |
| 1269 | 1036 | 79% | 2000-01-01 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1291 | 46% | 1999-05-03 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1130.5 vs 1054.7 has a 60.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).