Savoia!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (7 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 19
Defender wins (Russian): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 968 | 1072 | 35% | 2022-01-31 | | Won |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2021-08-13 | | Won |
| 1029 | 1048 | 47% | 2020-05-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 985 | 52% | 2019-05-10 | | Won |
| 985 | 1110 | 33% | 2017-10-19 | | Lost |
| 1153 | 1040 | 66% | 2009-10-11 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1164 | 48% | 2007-01-06 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1033.3 vs 1059.9 has a 46.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).