On the Road to Andalsnes
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (9 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (Norwegian): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 948 | 981 | 45% | 2023-06-18 | Won |
| 995 | 1047 | 43% | 2022-08-18 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1016 | 50% | 2020-08-15 | Lost |
| 952 | 984 | 45% | 2014-01-08 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1093 | 51% | 2012-04-07 | Lost |
| 915 | 981 | 41% | 2008-05-10 | Lost |
| 961 | 958 | 50% | 2007-07-01 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1102 | 42% | 1999-09-24 | Won |
| 1117 | 1117 | 50% | 1992-12-30 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1006.1 vs 1031 has a 46.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).