On the Road to Andalsnes
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (9 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (Norwegian): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-06-18 | | Won |
| 953 | 1086 | 32% | 2022-08-18 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1039 | 47% | 2020-08-15 | | Lost |
| 1012 | 1000 | 52% | 2014-01-08 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1093 | 51% | 2012-04-07 | | Lost |
| 915 | 1000 | 38% | 2008-05-10 | | Lost |
| 961 | 958 | 50% | 2007-07-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 1999-09-24 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1120 | 50% | 1992-12-30 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1003.2 vs 1047.7 has a 43.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).