On the Road to Andalsnes
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (Norwegian): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 943 | 1032 | 37% | 2023-06-18 | Won |
| 981 | 1063 | 38% | 2022-08-18 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1005 | 55% | 2020-08-15 | Lost |
| 1007 | 984 | 53% | 2014-01-08 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1094 | 51% | 2012-04-07 | Lost |
| 920 | 1032 | 34% | 2008-05-10 | Lost |
| 980 | 958 | 53% | 2007-07-01 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1223 | 29% | 1999-09-24 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1003.9 vs 1048.9 has a 43.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).