Zon with the Wind
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 525 (60 on the archive and 465 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 270
Defender wins (German): 254
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1087 | 1192 | 35% | 2024-03-10 | Lost |
1050 | 1036 | 52% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
1003 | 1016 | 48% | 2023-04-24 | Lost |
1127 | 955 | 73% | 2023-04-24 | Won |
858 | 982 | 33% | 2022-04-08 | Lost |
1058 | 992 | 59% | 2021-02-21 | Lost |
1157 | 932 | 79% | 2020-10-21 | Lost |
1144 | 1058 | 62% | 2019-03-08 | Won |
987 | 1086 | 36% | 2018-11-30 | Lost |
1104 | 1037 | 60% | 2018-08-13 | Lost |
998 | 908 | 63% | 2018-06-01 | Won |
998 | 998 | 50% | 2018-03-27 | Won |
1046 | 1030 | 52% | 2018-03-07 | Won |
862 | 882 | 47% | 2017-09-09 | Won |
992 | 988 | 51% | 2017-05-29 | Won |
1010 | 1013 | 50% | 2017-04-02 | Won |
1068 | 1013 | 58% | 2016-12-03 | Won |
1158 | 1012 | 70% | 2016-09-24 | Won |
933 | 1158 | 21% | 2016-07-01 | Lost |
1013 | 1018 | 49% | 2016-01-15 | Lost |
849 | 1104 | 19% | 2015-08-31 | Won |
1078 | 1056 | 53% | 2015-01-17 | Won |
1144 | 1058 | 62% | 2014-11-24 | Lost |
1131 | 1062 | 60% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
1051 | 1008 | 56% | 2014-09-20 | Lost |
1300 | 943 | 89% | 2014-05-22 | Won |
949 | 991 | 44% | 2014-05-08 | Won |
1115 | 976 | 69% | 2013-11-07 | Won |
978 | 1058 | 39% | 2013-04-30 | Lost |
984 | 1060 | 39% | 2013-01-09 | Won |
902 | 881 | 53% | 2012-10-05 | Won |
1300 | 1190 | 65% | 2011-06-03 | Lost |
1083 | 981 | 64% | 2010-07-03 | Won |
1115 | 976 | 69% | 2010-05-13 | Lost |
1040 | 1047 | 49% | 2009-10-20 | Won |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2009-06-08 | Lost |
1045 | 1126 | 39% | 2009-05-08 | Lost |
1003 | 908 | 63% | 2009-01-17 | Won |
1047 | 994 | 58% | 2008-10-26 | Won |
1131 | 1227 | 37% | 2008-10-04 | Lost |
989 | 1030 | 44% | 2008-08-16 | Lost |
916 | 916 | 50% | 2007-11-13 | Lost |
832 | 1117 | 16% | 2006-06-26 | Lost |
917 | 1105 | 25% | 2006-05-02 | Lost |
1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2006-01-29 | Lost |
1033 | 1095 | 41% | 2005-09-19 | Won |
1058 | 916 | 69% | 2005-08-13 | Lost |
1002 | 994 | 51% | 2004-10-31 | Lost |
987 | 903 | 62% | 2004-03-20 | Lost |
980 | 1096 | 34% | 2003-10-15 | Lost |
980 | 1096 | 34% | 2003-10-15 | Lost |
1142 | 1207 | 41% | 2002-01-26 | Won |
994 | 984 | 51% | 2000-01-27 | Lost |
865 | 1083 | 22% | 1998-09-17 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 1998-06-08 | Lost |
977 | 1142 | 28% | 1997-11-11 | Lost |
1142 | 1001 | 69% | 1997-04-05 | Won |
1142 | 1001 | 69% | 1997-04-05 | Won |
1097 | 890 | 77% | 1992-09-15 | Won |
Attacking (28 wins) average ELOs: 1034.9 vs 1027.8 has a 51.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).