Zon with the Wind
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 537 (71 on the archive and 466 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 275
Defender wins (German): 261
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 991 | 951 | 56% | 2025-11-06 | Won |
| 968 | 998 | 46% | 2024-03-10 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1036 | 52% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 952 | 1035 | 38% | 2023-04-24 | Won |
| 1097 | 954 | 69% | 2023-04-24 | Lost |
| 890 | 1035 | 30% | 2022-04-08 | Lost |
| 1136 | 991 | 70% | 2021-02-21 | Lost |
| 1152 | 931 | 78% | 2020-10-21 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1136 | 51% | 2019-03-08 | Won |
| 987 | 1142 | 29% | 2018-11-30 | Lost |
| 1052 | 908 | 70% | 2018-06-01 | Won |
| 1052 | 1052 | 50% | 2018-03-27 | Won |
| 1046 | 1021 | 54% | 2018-03-07 | Won |
| 1037 | 1140 | 36% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 862 | 881 | 47% | 2017-09-09 | Won |
| 1009 | 1038 | 46% | 2017-05-29 | Won |
| 1048 | 947 | 64% | 2017-04-02 | Won |
| 1099 | 947 | 71% | 2016-12-03 | Won |
| 1158 | 972 | 74% | 2016-09-24 | Won |
| 937 | 1158 | 22% | 2016-07-01 | Lost |
| 947 | 988 | 44% | 2016-01-15 | Lost |
| 786 | 1083 | 15% | 2015-08-31 | Won |
| 1077 | 1056 | 53% | 2015-01-17 | Won |
| 1143 | 1136 | 51% | 2014-11-24 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1107 | 54% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
| 1039 | 1129 | 37% | 2014-09-20 | Lost |
| 1231 | 944 | 84% | 2014-05-22 | Won |
| 948 | 991 | 44% | 2014-05-08 | Won |
| 906 | 976 | 40% | 2013-11-07 | Won |
| 982 | 1136 | 29% | 2013-04-30 | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2013-01-09 | Won |
| 896 | 875 | 53% | 2012-10-05 | Won |
| 1140 | 1023 | 66% | 2011-10-07 | Won |
| 1231 | 1191 | 56% | 2011-06-03 | Lost |
| 1097 | 981 | 66% | 2010-07-03 | Won |
| 906 | 976 | 40% | 2010-05-13 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1046 | 49% | 2009-10-20 | Won |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2009-06-08 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1125 | 39% | 2009-05-08 | Lost |
| 991 | 906 | 62% | 2009-01-17 | Won |
| 1046 | 984 | 59% | 2008-10-26 | Won |
| 1132 | 1233 | 36% | 2008-10-04 | Lost |
| 989 | 1035 | 43% | 2008-08-16 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1070 | 50% | 2007-11-30 | Lost |
| 1230 | 1070 | 72% | 2007-11-13 | Lost |
| 1187 | 1140 | 57% | 2007-07-28 | Lost |
| 832 | 1195 | 11% | 2006-06-26 | Lost |
| 862 | 1099 | 20% | 2006-05-02 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2006-01-29 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1117 | 38% | 2005-09-19 | Won |
| 1096 | 1140 | 44% | 2004-11-14 | Lost |
| 992 | 984 | 51% | 2004-10-31 | Lost |
| 907 | 903 | 51% | 2004-03-20 | Lost |
| 1150 | 941 | 77% | 2004-01-31 | Lost |
| 961 | 1096 | 31% | 2003-10-15 | Lost |
| 961 | 1096 | 31% | 2003-10-15 | Lost |
| 976 | 1263 | 16% | 2002-02-09 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1137 | 49% | 2002-01-26 | Won |
| 1160 | 1060 | 64% | 2002-01-26 | Won |
| 1060 | 1078 | 47% | 2002-01-21 | Won |
| 993 | 983 | 51% | 2000-01-27 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 1999-07-22 | Lost |
| 867 | 1097 | 21% | 1998-09-17 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 1998-06-08 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1013 | 81% | 1998-03-29 | Won |
| 978 | 1127 | 30% | 1997-11-11 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 1997-04-05 | Won |
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 1997-04-05 | Won |
| 1101 | 994 | 65% | 1992-09-15 | Won |
| 1091 | 1000 | 63% | Lost |
Attacking (33 wins) average ELOs: 1037.8 vs 1042.9 has a 49.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).