Across the Wire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (9 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 29
Defender wins (Italian): 19
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 0
Defender wins (Italian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1075 | 964 | 65% | 2023-05-21 | A | Lost |
| 1159 | 1121 | 55% | 2021-10-20 | | Lost |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2020-06-27 | | Won |
| 1097 | 886 | 77% | 2019-09-08 | | Won |
| 962 | 1022 | 41% | 2016-11-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1127 | 32% | 2011-10-30 | | Lost |
| 974 | 1070 | 37% | 2003-09-21 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1120 | 50% | 1997-04-02 | | Lost |
| 972 | 1056 | 38% | 1988-01-01 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1034.3 vs 1040.7 has a 49.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).