Broich Bash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (German): 6
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2023-10-14 | Lost |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2018-01-01 | Won |
| 986 | 1082 | 37% | 2017-08-04 | Won |
| 1177 | 1115 | 59% | 2016-03-10 | Won |
| 1065 | 1028 | 55% | 2015-08-28 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1125 | 50% | 2014-01-25 | Won |
| 1063 | 1132 | 40% | 2014-01-25 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1138 | 54% | 2013-08-10 | Won |
| 1106 | 927 | 74% | 2013-07-15 | Won |
| 1031 | 1126 | 37% | 2010-07-25 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2008-06-07 | Won |
| 1015 | 1016 | 50% | 2007-04-01 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1075 | 48% | 2007-01-05 | Won |
| 1330 | 1152 | 74% | 2005-10-08 | Won |
| 928 | 1009 | 39% | 2004-02-17 | Won |
| 1065 | 1014 | 57% | 2003-08-07 | Won |
| 1028 | 1138 | 35% | 2002-04-27 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1189 | 45% | 1998-05-27 | Won |
| 1002 | 1063 | 41% | 1998-05-21 | Lost |
| 890 | 1100 | 23% | 1998-03-07 | Won |
| 1127 | 1067 | 59% | 1996-01-20 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1062.2 vs 1080.6 has a 47.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).