Broich Bash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (American): 15
Defender wins (German): 6
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 997 | 1046 | 43% | 2023-10-14 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1009 | 57% | 2018-01-01 | Won |
| 986 | 1081 | 37% | 2017-08-04 | Won |
| 1192 | 1072 | 67% | 2016-03-10 | Won |
| 1098 | 1020 | 61% | 2015-08-28 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1129 | 57% | 2014-01-25 | Won |
| 1068 | 1136 | 40% | 2014-01-25 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1138 | 54% | 2013-08-10 | Won |
| 1107 | 889 | 78% | 2013-07-15 | Won |
| 1031 | 1125 | 37% | 2010-07-25 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2008-06-07 | Won |
| 1015 | 1016 | 50% | 2007-04-01 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1075 | 49% | 2007-01-05 | Won |
| 1342 | 1140 | 76% | 2005-10-08 | Won |
| 927 | 1009 | 38% | 2004-02-17 | Won |
| 1081 | 1189 | 35% | 2003-08-07 | Won |
| 1054 | 1154 | 36% | 2002-04-27 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1189 | 43% | 1998-05-27 | Won |
| 1002 | 1053 | 43% | 1998-05-21 | Lost |
| 1249 | 1149 | 64% | 1998-03-29 | Won |
| 992 | 1101 | 35% | 1998-03-07 | Won |
| 1180 | 1086 | 63% | 1996-01-20 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1087 vs 1086.2 has a 50.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).