Broich Bash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (American): 16
Defender wins (German): 8
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 995 | 1047 | 43% | 2023-10-14 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1000 | 57% | 2018-01-01 | Won |
| 986 | 1031 | 44% | 2017-08-04 | Won |
| 1202 | 1042 | 72% | 2016-03-10 | Won |
| 1146 | 1081 | 59% | 2015-08-28 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1129 | 46% | 2014-01-25 | Won |
| 1074 | 1136 | 41% | 2014-01-25 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1138 | 54% | 2013-08-10 | Won |
| 1107 | 965 | 69% | 2013-07-15 | Won |
| 1032 | 1125 | 37% | 2010-07-25 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2008-06-07 | Won |
| 1015 | 1016 | 50% | 2007-04-01 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1079 | 60% | 2007-01-16 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1077 | 50% | 2007-01-05 | Won |
| 1150 | 951 | 76% | 2006-01-16 | Lost |
| 1347 | 1141 | 77% | 2005-10-08 | Won |
| 907 | 1009 | 36% | 2004-02-17 | Won |
| 1080 | 1203 | 33% | 2003-08-07 | Won |
| 1060 | 1153 | 37% | 2002-04-27 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1344 | 19% | 1999-03-08 | Won |
| 1141 | 1192 | 43% | 1998-05-27 | Won |
| 1002 | 1028 | 46% | 1998-05-21 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1150 | 66% | 1998-03-29 | Won |
| 994 | 1101 | 35% | 1998-03-07 | Won |
| 1100 | 1087 | 52% | 1996-01-20 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1088.2 vs 1092.6 has a 49.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).